Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Busan tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, while a cancellation, tie, or delay of more than 7 days without a result resolves 50-50. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,326 in smart money activity on this market, including 1 notable signal.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,326.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

98% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 98% win rate bought Rio Noguchi at 43¢, a fresh position that stands out as a sharp bettor taking a clear side.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $153k across 190 bets
  • They have bet 123 markets across 122 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off play
  • Bought Rio Noguchi at 43¢ while the market sits around 44¢, signaling a clear view from a proven winner

$2,326 on Rio Noguchi | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc8f...a7bb Outcome 17319691, $15,083 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x664a...fc5f Outcome 17319691, $9,490
  3. 0x507e...beae Outcome 19251823, $9,240 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xee61...debf Outcome 19251823, $8,203 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xd48d...5182 Outcome 19251823, $6,405 (98% win rate)
  6. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 19251823, $5,909 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 19251823, $5,174 (73% win rate)
  8. 0xb376...3838 Outcome 19251823, $4,081 (0% win rate)
  9. 0x93cc...6ffc Outcome 17319691, $3,602
  10. 0xcf77...bae9 Outcome 19251823, $3,221

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

6d$2,326 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

13h ago

$2,326 on Rio Noguchi at 43¢

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