Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Busan tennis match between August Holmgren and Liam Broady, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. Resolution is set for April 24, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $1,961 in smart money activity across this market.

This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Liam Broady in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,817.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

73% winner buys underdog

A proven 73% win-rate bettor with broad cross-market activity sold the favorite at 85¢, which translates to buying August Holmgren around 15¢ at long odds.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades across 49 markets and has traded 25 related events
  • Selling Liam Broady at 85¢ is equivalent to buying August Holmgren around 15¢
  • The bet targets a live sports market with deep liquidity, so this looks like a deliberate underdog position rather than noise

$1,961 on August Holmgren | Wallet win rate: 73%

Pro sports sharp re-entering favorite

A high-volume, highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate just opened a fresh $10.8k position on the heavy favorite during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 1,841 of 2,534 resolved trades and is up $4.7M lifetime.
  • They just put $10.8k on Liam Broady at 86¢, a large fresh position after previously closing only a tiny $38 trade.
  • Market activity is running 34x above normal, showing broader money flowing into this match.

$10,846 on Liam Broady | Wallet win rate: 73%

98% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 98% win rate bought Liam Broady at 84¢, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $153k across more than $500k invested
  • They have bet across 124 events and 125 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Liam Broady at 84¢, implying a high-confidence favorite even after a very active $113k day in this market

$3,722 on Liam Broady | Wallet win rate: 98%

3-wallet sharp cluster

Three wallets simultaneously bought Liam Broady for over $10k during a 41x volume spike, and one of them is a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate.

  • Three wallets hit Liam Broady at the same time for $10.3k total, a strong one-sided signal.
  • One wallet has a 73% win rate across 2,534 resolved bets and is up $4.7M lifetime.
  • This landed during a 41x volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a routine single bet.

$10,251 on Liam Broady

98% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 98% win rate bought Liam Broady at 73¢, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of their resolved trades and is up $153k lifetime
  • They have bet across 123 events and 124 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Liam Broady at 73¢, a price that implies solid confidence in the favorite

$1,984 on Liam Broady | Wallet win rate: 98%

Proven sharp backs underdog

A highly profitable high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate is taking a fresh underdog position after closing a tiny opposite stake, making this a follow-worthy sharp bet despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 1,841 of 2,534 resolved markets and is up $4.7M lifetime.
  • They just opened a fresh August Holmgren position at 30¢ after closing only a tiny $38 Broady stake.
  • Buying at 30¢ in a sports market suggests they see the underdog as materially mispriced.

$1,055 on August Holmgren | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9410...ffcd August Holmgren, $56,371 (23% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 Liam Broady, $22,959 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xee61...debf Liam Broady, $17,715 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Liam Broady, $11,813 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xb376...3838 August Holmgren, $8,533 (0% win rate)
  6. 0x507e...beae Liam Broady, $7,057 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x0e1b...ecaf Liam Broady, $6,318 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x84ad...bfb7 Liam Broady, $4,311
  9. 0xd81f...6b75 August Holmgren, $3,368 (47% win rate)
  10. 0x6945...729c August Holmgren, $3,253

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Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

6d$29,817 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames
August Holmgren
14¢
Liam Broady
87¢

This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Liam Broady in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Liam Broady
88¢
76¢
63¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

6h ago

$1,961 on August Holmgren at 15¢

15¢14¢1¢

Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

6h ago

$10,846 on Liam Broady at 86¢

86¢87¢1¢

Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

7h ago

$3,722 on Liam Broady at 84¢

84¢87¢3¢

Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

7h ago

$10,251 on Liam Broady at 69¢

69¢87¢18¢

Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

7h ago

$1,984 on Liam Broady at 73¢

73¢87¢14¢

Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady

7h ago

$1,055 on August Holmgren at 30¢

30¢14¢16¢

Related Theses

Holmgren vs Broady Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter