Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Clement Chidekh
This Polymarket tracks the Busan tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Clement Chidekh, scheduled for April 12 at 9:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a 50-50 resolution only if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,961 in smart money activity on this market, including signals from sports bettors reacting to both sides.
This market refers on the tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Clement Chidekh in the Busan, scheduled for April 12 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Clement Chidekh. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Rio Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,890.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
29-0 serial sports bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a perfect 29-for-29 resolved record bought Rio Noguchi even after a huge breakout, making this a notable momentum-following sports trade.
- This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved markets and is up $28.6k across roughly $445k invested
- They trade across many related events and just bought after Rio Noguchi jumped about 53 points from its prior range
- The entry was 90¢ in a liquid market, signaling they still saw value despite Rio already trading as a heavy favorite
$1,961 on Rio Noguchi | Wallet win rate: 97%
Pro bettor flips sides
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate flipped from Chidekh into Rio Noguchi, suggesting a deliberate thesis change rather than routine whale activity.
- This bettor has won 1,581 of 2,164 resolved bets and is up $3.77M lifetime
- They closed a prior Chidekh position and opened a fresh $1.5k buy on Rio Noguchi at 37¢, signaling a real view change
- The trade landed near the best price in a modest-volume market, and Rio has already moved from 37¢ to 39¢
$1,526 on Rio Noguchi | Wallet win rate: 73%
Proven bettor fading Rio
A profitable high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate sold Rio Noguchi at 35¢, which translates into a buy signal on Clement Chidekh at 65¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades across 677 settled bets and is up about $267k lifetime
- They sold Rio Noguchi at 35¢, which is equivalent to buying Clement Chidekh around 65¢
- The bet was meaningful for this market size, at about 26% of 24-hour volume
$1,403 on Clement Chidekh | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Rio Noguchi, $11,403 (53% win rate)
- 0x3b5c...126e — Rio Noguchi, $10,495 (80% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Clement Chidekh, $9,580 (73% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Rio Noguchi, $6,609 (55% win rate)
- 0x844e...4efd — Clement Chidekh, $6,376 (56% win rate)
- 0xf62d...2a10 — Clement Chidekh, $5,995 (53% win rate)
- 0x35cc...88c1 — Rio Noguchi, $5,000
- 0x60a3...3850 — Clement Chidekh, $4,792
- 0x578a...6f10 — Clement Chidekh, $1,951
- 0xb75c...b6d3 — Rio Noguchi, $1,814 (96% win rate)
