Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Matteo Berrettini in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,689.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets backing underdog
Strong one-sided tennis flow into Navone from 4 wallets, including two highly profitable bettors, despite the price moving against their entries.
- Two profitable bettors are in this cluster, including one up $630K with 93% wins and another winning 98% of resolved bets.
- Four wallets bought $19.6K of Mariano Navone, creating a clear one-sided push on a high-volume tennis market.
- Navone is now around 46–47¢, cheaper than the cluster’s average entry and well below some buys at 62–68¢.
$19,625 on Mariano Navone
77% winner backs Berrettini
A highly experienced profitable sports trader with a 77% resolved win rate bought $5k of Berrettini amid a major pre-event volume spike, despite the market moving against their entry.
- This bettor has won 77% of 749 resolved trades and is up $222k lifetime.
- They have traded across 594 events with nearly $3M in total activity, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The market saw a 67x pre-event volume spike, and Berrettini is now cheaper than the bettor’s 55¢ entry.
$5,000 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 77%
72% winner flipped to Navone
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% historical win rate bought Navone at 52¢ before the market moved to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
- They bought Navone at 52¢ before the price jumped to 66¢, showing strong early timing.
- This wallet has traded across 1,173 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
$2,064 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x64c5...d255 — Matteo Berrettini, $22,000
- 0xba81...dc35 — Mariano Navone, $15,840 (93% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Matteo Berrettini, $14,152 (77% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Mariano Navone, $12,504 (55% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Matteo Berrettini, $10,026 (55% win rate)
- 0xbfe6...fcc9 — Mariano Navone, $9,781 (48% win rate)
- 0x22f7...b205 — Matteo Berrettini, $5,660 (97% win rate)
- 0x0d96...f714 — Matteo Berrettini, $5,400
- 0x38ea...e61a — Matteo Berrettini, $5,000
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Mariano Navone, $4,412 (98% win rate)
