Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,995.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

95% sports sharp fading favorite

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% resolved-bet record made a contrarian Cadenasso buy, but the market has since moved sharply against the position.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $86.6K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 65 events with the same 95% success rate.
  • Entry was 48¢ on a long-shot outcome, though the market has since fallen to 1¢.

$1,514 on Gianluca Cadenasso | Wallet win rate: 95%

99% winner backs favorite

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 76-1 resolved record bought Matteo Arnaldi at 54¢, suggesting meaningful confidence despite modest size.

  • This bettor has won 76 of 77 resolved trades and is up $63.5K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 109 events with a 99% resolved win record.
  • Entry at 54¢ implies they see value before the market moves much above a coin flip.

$1,481 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf2ce...5462 Matteo Arnaldi, $21,638 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Gianluca Cadenasso, $7,379 (72% win rate)
  3. 0x42c9...9623 Gianluca Cadenasso, $7,335 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x4698...d7a5 Matteo Arnaldi, $5,260 (99% win rate)
  5. 0xcf6c...7e66 Gianluca Cadenasso, $4,698 (80% win rate)
  6. 0x2005...75ea Matteo Arnaldi, $3,651 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x9c76...c926 Gianluca Cadenasso, $3,500 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x84ad...bfb7 Gianluca Cadenasso, $3,331 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x0165...8235 Gianluca Cadenasso, $3,154 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x5912...6f45 Matteo Arnaldi, $2,993

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Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso

6d$2,995 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames
Matteo Arnaldi
100¢
Gianluca Cadenasso
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Matteo Arnaldi
102¢
76¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso

3h ago

$1,514 on Gianluca Cadenasso at 48¢

48¢0¢48¢

Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso

3h ago

$1,481 on Matteo Arnaldi at 54¢

54¢100¢46¢

Related Theses