Part of: Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

This Polymarket tennis market tracks whether Kamil Majchrzak or Gael Monfils advances in their Canadian Open match, scheduled for August 3, 2026. The market is set to resolve to the winning player, or by August 10, 2026, with cancellation and extended-delay rules applying if no winner is determined.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,129.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven sharp backs Monfils

A highly proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Gael Monfils despite a recent market drop.

  • This bettor wins 79% of trades across 270 resolved positions and is up $706,543.
  • The wallet bought Gael Monfils at 44¢ while the market prices him near 42%, signaling continued conviction after a 17.5% one-day decline.
  • The trader has participated across 455 events, providing a substantial record beyond this single match.

$1,494 on Gael Monfils | Wallet win rate: 78%

Serial trader moves tennis market

A high-volume spike and rapid 26-point price drop make this a notable market-moving trade, though the trader's modest 55% win rate weakens the copy case.

  • This trader has placed over $31.9M across 5,438 markets, providing substantial activity context despite a 55% win rate.
  • The $2,204 bet coincided with a 55.7x volume spike and a rapid 26-point drop in Majchrzak's price.
  • The trader bought Majchrzak at 66¢, but the outcome has since fallen to 57¢, so the position is currently underwater.

$3,230 on Kamil Majchrzak | Wallet win rate: 55%

82% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 32-point edge placed a concentrated $20,000 bet on Gael Monfils amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 351 resolved positions and earned over $4.08 million.
  • They placed a concentrated $20,000 bet on Gael Monfils at 46¢, despite the market currently pricing him at 42%.
  • Trading activity was 55.7 times the historical average, adding weight to the otherwise contrarian position.

$20,000 on Gael Monfils | Wallet win rate: 83%

Proven sharp backs Monfils

A highly proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Gael Monfils despite a recent market drop.

  • This bettor wins 79% of trades across 270 resolved positions and is up $706,543.
  • The wallet bought Gael Monfils at 44¢ while the market prices him near 42%, signaling continued conviction after a 17.5% one-day decline.
  • The trader has participated across 455 events, providing a substantial record beyond this single match.

$1,400 on Gael Monfils | Wallet win rate: 78%

Serial trader moves tennis market

A high-volume spike and rapid 26-point price drop make this a notable market-moving trade, though the trader's modest 55% win rate weakens the copy case.

  • This trader has placed over $31.9M across 5,438 markets, providing substantial activity context despite a 55% win rate.
  • The $2,204 bet coincided with a 55.7x volume spike and a rapid 26-point drop in Majchrzak's price.
  • The trader bought Majchrzak at 66¢, but the outcome has since fallen to 57¢, so the position is currently underwater.

$2,204 on Kamil Majchrzak | Wallet win rate: 55%

95% winner adds to Majchrzak

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate is adding $3,800 to an existing Majchrzak position at 76%.

  • This bettor has won 70 of 74 resolved trades and is up $61,479.
  • The trader has positioned across 51 events with a 95% win rate, showing a broad repeatable edge.
  • This $3,800 buy adds to an existing $5,000 position at 76%, signaling continued conviction on Majchrzak.

$3,800 on Kamil Majchrzak | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 49578329, $82,183 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x49e0...9af1 Outcome 49578329, $9,175 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 49578329, $6,880 (78% win rate)
  4. 0xd3d2...fe85 Outcome 49578329, $6,000 (74% win rate)
  5. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 49578329, $4,000 (99% win rate)
  6. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 49578329, $2,700 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x479e...91c3 Outcome 49578329, $2,555 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x04e6...3914 Outcome 49578329, $2,030 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x1350...7169 Outcome 49578329, $2,030
  10. 0xa06a...d284 Outcome 49578329, $1,744 (96% win rate)

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Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

1dCanadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils$32,129 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Gael Monfils in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Gael Monfils. This market will resolve to 'Gael Monfils' if Gael Monfils advances against Kamil Majchrzak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Kamil Majchrzak
77¢
70¢
63¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

5d ago

$1,494 on Gael Monfils at 44¢

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

5d ago

$3,230 on Kamil Majchrzak at 66¢

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

4d ago

$20,000 on Gael Monfils at 46¢

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

4d ago

$1,400 on Gael Monfils at 44¢

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

5d ago

$2,204 on Kamil Majchrzak at 66¢

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

5d ago

$3,800 on Kamil Majchrzak at 76¢

Related Theses