Part of: Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner

Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,665.

Notable Trades

Elite bettor backing Ofner

A highly profitable serial trader with an exceptional historical edge made a concentrated underdog bet, though the position is now substantially underwater and should be treated cautiously.

This bettor has won 81% of 134 resolved positions and is up $560,443, with entries averaging just 46%.
The $5,000 Ofner bet at 43% was an unusually confident underdog position, reinforced by a 75.5x volume spike.
The position is now priced around 16%, so the thesis is deeply underwater despite the bettor adding to an existing Ofner holding.

$5,000 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp serial bettor on Fearnley

A proven, profitable serial trader bought Fearnley at 62% before a sharp move to 84%, supported by a strong win-rate edge and major volume spike.

This bettor wins 76% of 123 resolved trades and is up $64,641 lifetime, with a 22-point edge over average entry odds.
They bought Jacob Fearnley at 62%, while the market has since risen to 84%, indicating the position was well-timed.
The market saw a 75.5x volume spike, though the wallet already held a Fearnley position rather than opening a completely fresh trade.

$2,000 on Jacob Fearnley | Wallet win rate: 79%

Serial trader caught Fearnley surge

A serial cross-market trader with a substantial profitable history bought Fearnley at 59¢ before the market surged to 84¢ amid a 75x volume spike.

This bettor is up $933,000 across 549 resolved markets and has traded 736 events.
They invested $5,888 on Fearnley at 59¢, while the market has since risen to 84¢.
Trading volume was 75.5 times its recent average, reinforcing the sharp price move.

$5,888 on Jacob Fearnley | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp bettor doubles down on Ofner

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Sebastian Ofner position despite the market moving against it.

This bettor wins 81% of 233 resolved positions and is up $118,373 lifetime.
They are adding $1,200 to an existing Ofner position despite the price falling from 40¢ to 20¢, signaling strong conviction.
The wallet has traded across 35 events with an average winning entry price of 37%, well below the market’s current favorite pricing.

$1,200 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable whale leads coordinated Fearnley buys

Three wallets committed $12.6K to Fearnley amid a 1,437x volume surge and 16-point price move, led by a highly profitable bettor.

Three wallets bought $12,577 of Fearnley, more than five times the market’s prior volume and concentrated on one outcome.
The buying drove Fearnley from roughly 64% to 80%, signaling strong coordinated conviction.
One participant has a 63% win rate across 32,320 resolved bets and $30.6 million in lifetime profit.

$12,577 on Jacob Fearnley

Top Holders

0xf377...4159 — Outcome 83508827, $11,628 (82% win rate)
0x3fa2...cf15 — Outcome 83508827, $3,000 (81% win rate)
0xa032...2090 — Outcome 83508827, $2,111 (84% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 83508827, $1,615 (81% win rate)
0x9461...6be0 — Outcome 83508827, $1,273 (84% win rate)
0xc22e...eab8 — Outcome 83508827, $1,208
0xb040...dbea — Outcome 83508827, $933
0x22d4...8172 — Outcome 83508827, $680
0xd692...8b9a — Outcome 83508827, $588 (50% win rate)
0x91b6...4b40 — Outcome 83508827, $556 (64% win rate)

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Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner

ResolvedCanadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner$26,665 tracked5 signalsSportsTennisGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Sebastian Ofner in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Sebastian Ofner. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Jacob Fearnley”

73¢

65¢

56¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction