Part of: Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper
This Polymarket market tracks whether Terence Atmane or Jack Draper advances in their Canadian Open tennis match, scheduled for August 3, 2026. Live market odds may change as traders respond to new information; the market is scheduled to resolve by August 10, 2026, or earlier once a winner is determined. PolySpotter currently tracks $8,351 in smart money across one signal for this market.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,137.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sports trader makes large Draper bet
A highly experienced serial trader placed a large $6.5K bet on Jack Draper in a relatively quiet trading window, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly demonstrate exceptional edge.
- This bettor has resolved 3,067 markets, a 72% win rate, and $603K in lifetime profit.
- The $6,515 wager was nearly six times the detected 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in Jack Draper.
- Jack Draper was bought at 69¢, close to the market's 70% implied probability rather than at a clearly discounted price.
$8,351 on Jack Draper | Wallet win rate: 73%
Three-wallet Atmane buying surge
Three wallets bought $16.9K of Atmane amid a 383x volume spike, including a proven 82% bettor, though one key wallet is adding to an existing position.
- Three wallets bought $16,941 of Terence Atmane around 35–38¢ during a 383x historical volume spike.
- One participating bettor has won 82% of 328 resolved bets and is up nearly $30,000.
- The strongest wallet is adding to an existing Atmane position, while the broader market also shows some opposing Draper flow.
$13,475 on Terence Atmane
Four-wallet Draper buying cluster
A four-wallet Draper cluster and extraordinary pre-event volume spike provide a strong directional signal, though this wallet appears to be closing an Atmane position rather than opening a fresh one.
- Four wallets bought Jack Draper, totaling $38,789 in coordinated one-sided flow.
- Trading volume surged to 383x its historical average ahead of the match.
- This bettor has won 74% of 23 resolved trades and is up $91,656, though the Atmane sale appears to be position closure.
$3,930 on Jack Draper | Wallet win rate: 74%
Three-wallet Draper conviction cluster
Three wallets committed $34.9K to Jack Draper during an extreme volume spike, though the market has since moved five points against them and their track records are mixed.
- Three wallets bought Jack Draper for a combined $34,859, representing nearly 70% of 24-hour volume.
- The trades arrived during a 2,151x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated conviction before the match.
- The largest bettor is up $32.5M lifetime with a 63% win rate, but Draper has since fallen from 67¢ to 62¢ and the other wallets are only modestly proven.
$10,285 on Jack Draper
Serial sports trader makes large Draper bet
A highly experienced serial trader placed a large $6.5K bet on Jack Draper in a relatively quiet trading window, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly demonstrate exceptional edge.
- This bettor has resolved 3,067 markets, a 72% win rate, and $603K in lifetime profit.
- The $6,515 wager was nearly six times the detected 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in Jack Draper.
- Jack Draper was bought at 69¢, close to the market's 70% implied probability rather than at a clearly discounted price.
$6,515 on Jack Draper | Wallet win rate: 73%
94% winner scaling into Draper
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $9,600 to an already concentrated Jack Draper position in a very thin market.
- This bettor has won 94% of 81 resolved positions and is up $50,330 lifetime.
- They are adding $9,600 to Jack Draper at 67¢, bringing their position to over $23,000 in a market with only $1,094 of 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 53 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
$4,000 on Jack Draper | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner scaling into Draper
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $9,600 to an already concentrated Jack Draper position in a very thin market.
- This bettor has won 94% of 81 resolved positions and is up $50,330 lifetime.
- They are adding $9,600 to Jack Draper at 67¢, bringing their position to over $23,000 in a market with only $1,094 of 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 53 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
$3,980 on Jack Draper | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner scaling into Draper
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $9,600 to an already concentrated Jack Draper position in a very thin market.
- This bettor has won 94% of 81 resolved positions and is up $50,330 lifetime.
- They are adding $9,600 to Jack Draper at 67¢, bringing their position to over $23,000 in a market with only $1,094 of 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 53 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
$9,600 on Jack Draper | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xab82...abe5 — Outcome 22357622, $60,457 (59% win rate)
- 0xbc43...96d3 — Outcome 22357622, $34,953 (76% win rate)
- 0x9e14...71a2 — Outcome 22357622, $16,890
- 0x0cdf...ec9e — Outcome 22357622, $14,241 (94% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 22357622, $8,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xb75b...e377 — Outcome 22357622, $6,202 (80% win rate)
- 0xa804...2a75 — Outcome 22357622, $5,721 (63% win rate)
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 22357622, $5,000 (72% win rate)
- 0xc627...47b2 — Outcome 22357622, $3,193 (87% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 22357622, $2,610 (58% win rate)
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