Part of: Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

This Polymarket tennis market tracks whether Alan Magadan or Alex Hernandez advances in their Cancun match scheduled for August 19, 2026. Current market pricing is not included in the provided data, but smart-money activity favors Alex Hernandez, with $3,017 tracked and multiple sharp-bettor alerts. The market resolves by August 26, 2026, or earlier once a winner is determined.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,992.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and $1.1M lifetime profit made a fresh $3,017 wager on Alan Magadan at a favorable 67% entry.

  • This bettor has won 1,193 of 1,210 resolved trades and earned over $1.1M in profit.
  • They placed a fresh $3,017 bet on Alan Magadan at 67%, below the current 70% market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 564 events and 571 markets, indicating extensive and consistent activity rather than a one-off wager.

$3,017 on Alan Magadan | Wallet win rate: 99%

94% winner backs Alex Hernandez

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,646 Alex Hernandez position despite the market now pricing him at 56%.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 1,881 resolved trades and is up $890,463 lifetime.
  • The $2,646 wager was a fresh, concentrated bet on Alex Hernandez at 63%, signaling strong conviction.
  • The bettor has traded across 342 events and 360 markets, making this more than a one-off sports position.

$2,646 on Alex Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor scaling into Alex Hernandez

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate is adding to an Alex Hernandez position at 43%, despite the market moving down to 36%.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 383 resolved trades and earned $147,536 in profit.
  • They are adding $2,112 to an existing $6,911 Alex Hernandez position at 43%, showing continued conviction after the price fell.
  • The wallet has traded across 180 events and 197 markets, providing a substantial record rather than a one-off result.

$1,217 on Alex Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor scaling into Alex Hernandez

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate is adding to an Alex Hernandez position at 43%, despite the market moving down to 36%.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 383 resolved trades and earned $147,536 in profit.
  • They are adding $2,112 to an existing $6,911 Alex Hernandez position at 43%, showing continued conviction after the price fell.
  • The wallet has traded across 180 events and 197 markets, providing a substantial record rather than a one-off result.

$2,112 on Alex Hernandez | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe524...d34f Outcome 98450670, $13,000 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 98450670, $6,331 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xf9d6...730a Outcome 98450670, $5,371 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 98450670, $4,200 (94% win rate)
  5. 0xaa08...d98a Outcome 98450670, $1,551 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x571f...1d37 Outcome 98450670, $192 (59% win rate)
  7. 0xe1c7...d291 Outcome 98450670, $170
  8. 0xa55c...1066 Outcome 98450670, $160
  9. 0x133a...504a Outcome 98450670, $118
  10. 0xfb77...1c78 Outcome 98450670, $111

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Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

2dCancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez$8,992 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Alex Hernandez in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Alan Magadan
72¢
52¢
33¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

4d ago

$3,017 on Alan Magadan at 67¢

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

4d ago

$2,646 on Alex Hernandez at 63¢

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

4d ago

$1,217 on Alex Hernandez at 43¢

Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandez

4d ago

$2,112 on Alex Hernandez at 43¢

Related Theses