Part of: Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris
This Cancun tennis prediction market covers the match between Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation, a tie, or no confirmed winner handled under the market rules; the listed resolution date is August 30, 2026. Smart money activity currently shows bettors scaling into Baez, including a 124-0 bettor.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,191.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor scaling into Baez
A highly active, profitable bettor with 602 resolved trades and a 74% win rate is adding to a large Baez position amid an exceptional pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 602 resolved trades and is up $435,574 lifetime.
- They added $3,258 to an existing $9,800 Baez position at 85¢, signaling continued conviction.
- Market volume is running at 380x its historical average ahead of the match.
$3,273 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable bettor scaling into Baez
A highly active, profitable bettor with 602 resolved trades and a 74% win rate is adding to a large Baez position amid an exceptional pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 602 resolved trades and is up $435,574 lifetime.
- They added $3,258 to an existing $9,800 Baez position at 85¢, signaling continued conviction.
- Market volume is running at 380x its historical average ahead of the match.
$3,258 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 74%
Three proven bettors scaling into Baez
Three highly experienced, profitable tennis bettors added $24.7K to Baez at 84–86% amid an extreme volume spike, providing strong coordinated conviction despite existing positions.
- Three bettors with 74–78% win rates collectively added $24,708 to Sebastian Baez at 84–86%.
- The coordinated buying accompanied a 1,153x historical volume spike, while Baez moved from roughly 84% to 88%.
- These wallets have resolved 500–602 bets each and are adding to substantial existing Baez positions, signaling increased conviction.
$24,708 on Sebastian Baez
Serial trader buying Baez early
A profitable serial cross-market trader added to Sebastian Baez at 65¢ before the outcome moved to 80¢, though the edge is moderate and the current price is above the copy ceiling.
- This bettor has won 66% of 158 resolved trades and is profitable overall.
- They bought $1,488 of Baez at 65¢, and the price has since risen to 80%.
- The trader has already built a Baez position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
$1,488 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable sharp scaling into Baez
A highly experienced bettor with a 79% win rate and $516k profit is adding $3,000 to an existing Baez position at 62%.
- This bettor wins 79% of 1,152 resolved trades and is up $516,469 lifetime.
- The wallet is adding $3,000 to an existing Baez position, signaling continued conviction at 62%.
- Its 745-event cross-market history and 21-point edge over implied odds make this more than a routine large bet.
$3,000 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 79%
124-0 bettor adds to Baez
A proven 124-0 bettor with substantial positive expected value is adding $3,463 to an existing Baez position at 59%.
- This bettor has won 124 of 124 resolved trades and is up $83,585.
- They are adding $3,463 to an existing Baez position, bringing total investment to about $9,522.
- The wallet has traded across 48 markets and 43 events with a 100% recorded win rate.
$3,463 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10920568, $21,697 (65% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 10920568, $3,728 (75% win rate)
- 0xe954...1ef1 — Outcome 10920568, $3,487 (92% win rate)
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 10920568, $3,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x75a7...2d61 — Outcome 10920568, $2,063 (29% win rate)
- 0x6a00...9158 — Outcome 10920568, $1,945
- 0x9deb...536f — Outcome 10920568, $1,524 (68% win rate)
- 0xbedb...6bc3 — Outcome 10920568, $1,500
- 0x689f...259c — Outcome 10920568, $1,500 (46% win rate)
- 0x14a2...704c — Outcome 10920568, $1,333
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