Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 8 at 7:30PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $153,142.

Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey

Notable Trades

Profitable late sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader with a 77% win rate put $30.6k on Capitals at 59¢ just minutes before resolution during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $282k across about $1.16M of similar event trading.
  • They put $30.6k on Capitals at 59¢ only 2 minutes before the market closed, a pattern that can signal a real-time edge in live sports.
  • Market volume was running 92.5x above normal, and they still bought at 59¢ while Capitals now trade around 60¢.

$30,602 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 79%

77% win-rate live bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a 77% win rate put nearly $10.8k on Capitals two minutes before resolution during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $282k overall
  • They bet $10.8k on Capitals at 59¢ just 2 minutes before resolution
  • This wallet has traded 29 markets across 28 events for $1.16M, suggesting a repeatable live-trading edge

$10,795 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 79%

Perfect-record serial bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with a perfect 1,125-for-1,125 resolved record bought Capitals at 59¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 1,125 of 1,125 resolved trades and is up $83.5k lifetime
  • They have bet across 32 markets in 30 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off hit
  • Buying Capitals at 59¢ suggests they think the true win chance is meaningfully above the market price

$3,800 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven sharp on Capitals

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate and $5.7M P&L just put nearly $19k on Capitals at 58%, making this a credible copy-trade despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 1,113 resolved trades and is up $5.7M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across markets with nearly $7.9M deployed, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Capitals at 58¢ with almost $19k, a meaningful stake even in a liquid market

$18,886 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 71%

96% win-rate sharp

A proven elite bettor with a 96% win rate and broad cross-market success just put $14.6k on Maple Leafs at 42¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 679 markets and is up $22.8M lifetime
  • They trade across 143 events and 163 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Maple Leafs at 42¢, implying they see the underdog as meaningfully mispriced

$14,626 on Maple Leafs | Wallet win rate: 96%

Late sharp cluster on Capitals

Three wallets piled $74k into Capitals minutes before the game resolved, led by one bettor with a flawless 1,125-for-1,125 record and another profitable cross-market trader, making this a strong coordinated late signal.

  • Three wallets bought $74k of Capitals at 59¢ within minutes of resolution, a strong one-sided push.
  • One wallet shows a 1,125-0 record with $83.5k profit, and another wins 77% of bets with $282k profit.
  • Market volume surged nearly 90x normal, suggesting informed late money rather than routine action.

$74,433 on Capitals

Top Holders

  1. 0x1925...4654 Capitals, $152,051 (79% win rate)
  2. 0xb45a...192c Maple Leafs, $100,000 (45% win rate)
  3. 0xc257...358e Maple Leafs, $60,000 (96% win rate)
  4. 0xc660...bd28 Capitals, $50,973 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xcf60...47ce Maple Leafs, $39,717 (53% win rate)
  6. 0xf2f6...5817 Maple Leafs, $20,000 (75% win rate)
  7. 0xead1...c76a Capitals, $16,035 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x5116...58c4 Capitals, $12,807 (41% win rate)
  9. 0xe790...eadc Maple Leafs, $11,165
  10. 0xe25b...0f1b Maple Leafs, $10,521 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

Resolved$153,142 tracked6 signalsSportsNHLGamesHockey
Capitals
59¢
Maple Leafs
41¢

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 8 at 7:30PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Price History — “Capitals
61¢
56¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

5m ago

$30,602 on Capitals at 59¢

59¢59¢

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

12m ago

$10,795 on Capitals at 59¢

59¢59¢

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

8m ago

$3,800 on Capitals at 59¢

59¢59¢

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

52m ago

$18,886 on Capitals at 58¢

58¢59¢1¢

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

52m ago

$14,626 on Maple Leafs at 42¢

42¢41¢1¢

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs

15m ago

$74,433 on Capitals at 59¢

59¢59¢

Related Theses

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | PolySpotter