Part of: Capitals vs. Penguins
Capitals vs. Penguins
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $345,737.
Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate just put $18.9k on Penguins after previously closing the other side, making this a fresh contrarian position worth watching.
- This bettor has won 14 of 19 resolved markets and is up about $539k overall
- They trade heavily across related events with nearly $1.83M deployed, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
- The $18.9k Penguins buy at 43¢ is a fresh position after closing an earlier Capitals trade, and it goes against a market that has recently moved toward Washington
$18,920 on Penguins | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial timer flips sides
A profitable serial timer with a strong near-resolution edge flipped into a large fresh Penguins position at 43¢ as volume and price action surged.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved markets and is up $539k, with a documented pattern of last-minute bets that beat the market.
- They bought $76.5k of Penguins at 43¢ right at game time after previously closing a small Capitals position, showing a fresh high-conviction view.
- Market volume spiked 64x and the price had already moved 12 points in a day, suggesting informed action around the opener.
$76,524 on Penguins | Wallet win rate: 79%
82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports trader with an 82% win rate and $725k in realized profit bought Capitals during a major pre-game volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up $725k across 358 resolved bets
- They have traded 254 markets across 202 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Capitals at 58¢ as volume ran 64x above normal and the price was already moving up
$1,767 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial timer
A profitable serial timer with a strong cross-market record swung into a $74.9k Penguins buy essentially at resolution, a pattern consistent with real-time edge worth following.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved markets and is up $538,987 overall.
- They placed a $74.9k Penguins buy essentially at resolution, and they have 10 near-resolution bets with a documented edge.
- This was a fresh Penguins position after closing a small Capitals position, showing a decisive late read rather than routine profit-taking.
$74,924 on Penguins | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp sports bettor buying Capitals
A highly profitable, high-volume sports trader with a 71% win rate just bought $26.6k of Capitals into a major pregame volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $5.7M across more than 1,100 bets
- They just put $26.6k on Capitals at 57¢ as market activity ran 116.6x above normal
- The price is still near their entry with a tight 1¢ spread, making the move easy to follow
$26,562 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 71%
90% win-rate sharp
A highly proven sharp bettor with a 90% win rate and $866k profit is buying Capitals, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up $866k across 780 resolved positions.
- They have done this across 1,233 markets and more than 1,000 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hot streak.
- They bought Capitals at 56¢, a price that suggests they still see value even after the market moved up 10 points in a day.
$1,005 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 54%
82% win-rate sharp
A proven high-volume sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $2.0M profit bought Capitals at 54¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M across nearly $9.7M invested
- They have done this across 377 events and 397 markets, so this is a tested repeat trader rather than a one-off whale
- Bought Capitals at 54¢ while the market now sits around 55¢, signaling a modest but credible edge from a proven bettor
$6,097 on Capitals | Wallet win rate: 80%
Linked cluster backing Capitals
Three linked wallets with profitable betting histories all bought Capitals around 60-61¢, adding coordinated conviction on a market already moving higher.
- Four wallets share a funder, and three of them bought the same side here for nearly $6k total.
- Two wallets are proven profitable, including one up $1.25M across 12,731 resolved bets.
- They entered at 60-61¢ while the market has already jumped 16 points in a day, reinforcing the bullish move.
$5,948 on Capitals
Linked sharp cluster on Capitals
A 4-wallet cluster including one elite 81% win-rate bettor put over $116k behind Capitals in a short burst, with linked funding and a massive pregame volume spike backing the move.
- A bettor who wins 81% of their trades and is up $1.5M is part of this Capitals push.
- 4 wallets piled into Capitals for $116k in minutes, and 2 wallets share a funder.
- They bought around 48-51¢ and the market already moved up to 52¢ on a 1,540x pregame volume spike.
$116,181 on Capitals
Sharp cluster backing Penguins
A highly profitable serial sports trader joined a 4-wallet $56k one-sided move into Penguins during an extreme pre-game volume spike, making this a strong directional signal.
- This bettor has won 2,135 of 3,200 resolved trades and is up $12.0M lifetime.
- Four wallets bought $56.1k of Penguins together as volume ran 1,540x above normal.
- The bet went in at 49¢ while the market now sits around 52–53¢, showing immediate follow-through.
$6,846 on Penguins | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x1925...4654 — Outcome 32958360, $221,098 (79% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 32958360, $138,537 (67% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 32958360, $5,544 (64% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 32958360, $4,672 (74% win rate)
- 0xe779...335e — Outcome 32958360, $3,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xe401...7b88 — Outcome 32958360, $2,907 (65% win rate)
- 0x5bca...0d11 — Outcome 32958360, $2,535
- 0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 32958360, $2,005 (77% win rate)
- 0x4ad6...0c7a — Outcome 32958360, $1,949
- 0x85c0...22e8 — Outcome 32958360, $1,899
Related Theses
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