Cavaliers vs. Raptors

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $389,115.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

94% winner joins Cavs cluster

Exceptional 94% lifetime winner bought Cavaliers alongside a large 17-wallet same-direction surge, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $212k lifetime.
17 wallets bought Cavaliers in the same window, totaling about $116k.
They paid 48¢, while current odds are much lower after a sharp move against Cavaliers.

$1,173 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 94%

Serial winner joins Cavs cluster

Strong Cavs-side signal from a high-volume 71% winner plus 17 wallets moving the same direction, though the individual trade is currently underwater versus live odds.

This bettor has won 71% of more than 13,000 resolved trades and is up $121K lifetime.
17 wallets all moved the same way, putting $116K behind Cavaliers in this window.
Selling Raptors at 72¢ equals buying Cavaliers at 28¢, signaling a contrarian underdog position.

$1,765 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 69%

16-wallet linked Raptors cluster

Strong one-sided Raptors flow from 16 wallets, including linked funding, with a rapid price move and volume spike despite only modest individual wallet track record.

16 wallets all backed Raptors in the same window, totaling nearly $70K on one side.
Some wallets share funding, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than random public flow.
This wallet’s sell of Cavaliers at 52¢ is equivalent to buying Raptors at 48¢, with Raptors currently around 44¢.

$11,926 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp 10-wallet Raptors cluster

Surface: 10 wallets put $56.6K effectively long Raptors, with a volume spike and multiple profitable bettors involved, though there is also meaningful opposing Cavaliers flow.

10 wallets put $56.6K on Raptors, including several trades that sold Cavaliers to get the same exposure.
One bettor on this side is up $1.74M lifetime, and another wins 86% of resolved bets with $313K profit.
Volume jumped 16.6x, and many entries were around 58¢ before Raptors moved to 69¢.

$56,595 on Raptors

13-wallet Cavaliers push

High-score one-sided Cavaliers flow from 13 wallets with linked funding drove a major price move, though this specific wallet was also closing a prior Raptors position.

13 wallets are all betting the same way, with $81K behind Cavaliers and 2 wallets sharing a funder.
This trade effectively entered Cavaliers at 14¢ before the market moved to 28¢.
The bettor has a 62% record across 40 resolved bets and has traded 32 related events.

$1,509 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 62%

Linked underdog buying cluster

High-conviction coordinated Cavaliers buying from 13 wallets with linked funding and a major volume spike, though the trade has moved against them since entry.

13 wallets bought the same underdog side for $81K, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.
The move came with a 16.6x volume spike and an 18-point price jump in a very active NBA market.
This wallet is a frequent cross-market trader across 76 events and is up $17K lifetime.

$9,854 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Raptors into a major pre-game volume spike, though the stake is modest for this liquid NBA market.

This bettor has a large track record: 65% wins across 2,823 resolved bets and about $843k profit.
They are active across many sports markets, with over $6.1M in flagged cross-market volume.
Raptors trading saw a 23.5x volume spike, and this bet followed strong recent momentum toward Raptors.

$1,234 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 70%

71% sports bettor backs Raptors

A highly active profitable sports bettor with a 71% long-term win rate bought Raptors as market volume surged ahead of the game.

This bettor wins 71% of resolved bets and is up $121K lifetime.
They bought Raptors at 78¢, and the market has already moved to 80¢.
Market activity is 18x above its historical average ahead of the game.

$1,342 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable serial sports trader is fading a Cavaliers price bounce by effectively buying Raptors amid a major volume spike and sharp price movement.

This bettor has traded 77 events with a 65% hit rate and $78.5K in profit.
They are effectively buying Raptors at 78¢ after Cavaliers jumped about 16% in the scan window.
This NBA market is seeing an 18x volume spike, so the trade is part of a broader surge in activity.

$1,983 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 66%

85% winner backs Raptors

Proven profitable sports bettor with an 85% historical win rate and $1.07M profit made a $20K Raptors buy amid a notable volume spike.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
They have traded across 277 events with $7.2M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
The $20K Raptors buy came during an 18x volume spike, and the market is now cheaper than their 85¢ entry.

$20,000 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 34585796, $128,287 (53% win rate)
0x3ef7...b7bb — Outcome 34585796, $44,186 (100% win rate)
0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 34585796, $18,676 (61% win rate)
0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 34585796, $15,555 (94% win rate)
0xe9f2...fafa — Outcome 34585796, $10,870 (88% win rate)
0x27c5...6d61 — Outcome 34585796, $10,545 (89% win rate)
0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 34585796, $9,097 (88% win rate)
0x4fc4...1f41 — Outcome 34585796, $9,056 (49% win rate)
0x09b5...7e72 — Outcome 34585796, $6,045 (83% win rate)
0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 34585796, $5,215 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

ResolvedCavaliers vs. Raptors$389,115 tracked27 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 1 at 12:00AM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

CLE

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52-30

Scotiabank Arena

TOR

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46-36

Draft Kings

Spread: CLE -4.5O/U: 218.5ML: -198/+164

Win Prob

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Last Play