Part of: Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Cervia tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Carlo Alberto Caniato, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves based on which player advances, with a resolution deadline of May 26, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,650 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from profitable sports traders.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,650.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample is backing Caniato in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades across 253 bets and is up about $760K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 147 events and over $2.4M in tracked volume.
- The $2K buy is meaningful for this smaller market, roughly a quarter of the listed 24h volume.
$2,000 on Carlo Alberto Caniato | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor with a 65% win rate and $760k lifetime P&L bought Caniato in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor has won 65% of 253 resolved bets and is up about $760k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.5M deployed across 175 markets.
- Their $1,650 buy is large for this quiet market, equal to about 41% of 24h volume.
$1,650 on Carlo Alberto Caniato | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x0979...8d9b — Outcome 28970609, $6,949 (65% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 96291746, $2,000 (56% win rate)
- 0xa664...f849 — Outcome 96291746, $1,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 96291746, $940 (72% win rate)
- 0x1a47...235b — Outcome 96291746, $500 (44% win rate)
- 0x4ffe...9f71 — Outcome 96291746, $290
- 0xe062...4907 — Outcome 96291746, $250
- 0xde04...fa37 — Outcome 96291746, $220 (49% win rate)
- 0x35e7...8331 — Outcome 96291746, $200
- 0xf753...bcfe — Outcome 96291746, $152
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