Part of: Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Cervia tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Carlo Alberto Caniato, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves based on which player advances, with a resolution deadline of May 26, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,650 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from profitable sports traders.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,650.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved sample is backing Caniato in a relatively quiet tennis market.

  • This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades across 253 bets and is up about $760K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 147 events and over $2.4M in tracked volume.
  • The $2K buy is meaningful for this smaller market, roughly a quarter of the listed 24h volume.

$2,000 on Carlo Alberto Caniato | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor with a 65% win rate and $760k lifetime P&L bought Caniato in a relatively quiet tennis market.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 253 resolved bets and is up about $760k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.5M deployed across 175 markets.
  • Their $1,650 buy is large for this quiet market, equal to about 41% of 24h volume.

$1,650 on Carlo Alberto Caniato | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 28970609, $6,949 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 96291746, $2,000 (56% win rate)
  3. 0xa664...f849 Outcome 96291746, $1,000 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 96291746, $940 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x1a47...235b Outcome 96291746, $500 (44% win rate)
  6. 0x4ffe...9f71 Outcome 96291746, $290
  7. 0xe062...4907 Outcome 96291746, $250
  8. 0xde04...fa37 Outcome 96291746, $220 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x35e7...8331 Outcome 96291746, $200
  10. 0xf753...bcfe Outcome 96291746, $152

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Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

5dCervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato$3,650 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Cervia, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

1d ago

$2,000 on Carlo Alberto Caniato at 56¢

Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

1d ago

$1,650 on Carlo Alberto Caniato at 55¢

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