Part of: Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo
Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo
This Polymarket market covers the Cervia tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Guido Justo, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026 if the match is completed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $1,645 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,485.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is buying the 15¢ underdog after a major price move, making this a moderate but follow-worthy contrarian tennis bet.
- This bettor is up about $375K across 111 resolved trades.
- They have traded 63 events and 66 markets, suggesting a repeat sports/event betting process.
- Buying Guido at 15¢ is a contrarian underdog entry after a sharp price move.
$1,645 on Guido Justo | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable whale-led cluster
Three wallets bought $11.8K of Tommaso Compagnucci amid a huge volume spike, led by a highly profitable serial trader with a 72% win rate and $10.8M lifetime profit.
- A bettor with a 72% record and $10.8M lifetime profit led this $11.8K move.
- Three wallets all bought Tommaso at 60¢ within seconds, creating a strong one-sided cluster.
- Volume jumped over 800x normal, and the market is now slightly cheaper at 57¢ than their entry.
$11,827 on Tommaso Compagnucci
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with $365k lifetime P&L bought Guido Justo during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $365k lifetime across 110 resolved markets.
- They have traded 62 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Guido Justo was bought at 40¢ and has already moved to 42¢ amid a sharp pre-match volume spike.
$1,014 on Guido Justo | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history bought $2k of Tommaso Compagnucci in a relatively small tennis market.
- This bettor is up $785k across 260 resolved markets, winning 66% of them.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 155 events and over $2.5M tracked in similar activity.
- The $2k buy was meaningful for this small tennis market and entered at 41¢, now trading around 44¢.
$2,000 on Tommaso Compagnucci | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0xef1b...8697 — Outcome 29570896, $36,564 (58% win rate)
- 0x0979...8d9b — Outcome 87184739, $9,676 (66% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 29570896, $833 (75% win rate)
- 0xd3e7...bf64 — Outcome 87184739, $800
- 0x3090...be73 — Outcome 29570896, $611 (60% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 29570896, $418 (71% win rate)
- 0xeab6...d4c6 — Outcome 29570896, $289
- 0x5c18...2f76 — Outcome 29570896, $258
- 0x6f2e...7c7b — Outcome 29570896, $241
- 0xeb76...7ffe — Outcome 29570896, $171
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