Part of: Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

This Polymarket market covers the Cervia tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Guido Justo, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026 if the match is completed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $1,645 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,485.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is buying the 15¢ underdog after a major price move, making this a moderate but follow-worthy contrarian tennis bet.

  • This bettor is up about $375K across 111 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 63 events and 66 markets, suggesting a repeat sports/event betting process.
  • Buying Guido at 15¢ is a contrarian underdog entry after a sharp price move.

$1,645 on Guido Justo | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable whale-led cluster

Three wallets bought $11.8K of Tommaso Compagnucci amid a huge volume spike, led by a highly profitable serial trader with a 72% win rate and $10.8M lifetime profit.

  • A bettor with a 72% record and $10.8M lifetime profit led this $11.8K move.
  • Three wallets all bought Tommaso at 60¢ within seconds, creating a strong one-sided cluster.
  • Volume jumped over 800x normal, and the market is now slightly cheaper at 57¢ than their entry.

$11,827 on Tommaso Compagnucci

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with $365k lifetime P&L bought Guido Justo during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $365k lifetime across 110 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 62 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Guido Justo was bought at 40¢ and has already moved to 42¢ amid a sharp pre-match volume spike.

$1,014 on Guido Justo | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history bought $2k of Tommaso Compagnucci in a relatively small tennis market.

  • This bettor is up $785k across 260 resolved markets, winning 66% of them.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 155 events and over $2.5M tracked in similar activity.
  • The $2k buy was meaningful for this small tennis market and entered at 41¢, now trading around 44¢.

$2,000 on Tommaso Compagnucci | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xef1b...8697 Outcome 29570896, $36,564 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 87184739, $9,676 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 29570896, $833 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xd3e7...bf64 Outcome 87184739, $800
  5. 0x3090...be73 Outcome 29570896, $611 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 29570896, $418 (71% win rate)
  7. 0xeab6...d4c6 Outcome 29570896, $289
  8. 0x5c18...2f76 Outcome 29570896, $258
  9. 0x6f2e...7c7b Outcome 29570896, $241
  10. 0xeb76...7ffe Outcome 29570896, $171

Related Theses

Spurs beat Timberwolves comfortably

Covers 2 related markets

Forti beats Dostanic in Cervia

Covers 1 related market

Fatic beats Mikrut

Covers 1 related market

Ivanov beats Roncadelli in Cervia

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Thunder win by double digits

Covers 1 related market

Mert Alkaya beats Kravchenko

Covers 1 related market

Caniato beats Arnaboldi

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

6dCervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo$16,485 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Guido Justo in the Cervia, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Compagnucci' if Tommaso Compagnucci advances against Guido Justo. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Tommaso Compagnucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

6h ago

$1,645 on Guido Justo at 15¢

Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

6h ago

$11,827 on Tommaso Compagnucci at 60¢

Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

6h ago

$1,014 on Guido Justo at 40¢

Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

15h ago

$2,000 on Tommaso Compagnucci at 41¢

Related Theses