This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $968k lifetime. They bought $4k of Under at 61¢, and the market has already moved to 68¢. Their entry implies they saw meaningful value despite a heavily traded market.

Part of: Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,085.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FA Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster caught Under

Five wallets, including multiple highly profitable bettors, bought $17.9k of Under before it moved sharply to 100%, suggesting strong coordinated conviction but little copyable upside now.

Several proven bettors piled into the same side, including one wallet with 67 wins in 68 resolved bets and $48.7k profit.
Five wallets bought $17.9k of Under, helping push the price about 30 percentage points higher.
The move already reached 100%, so this is more useful for tracking these wallets than chasing the current price.

$17,916 on Under

84% winner buying Under

Sharp profitable wallet with an 84% resolved-bet win rate is buying Under despite a large recent market move, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $27.5K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $308K placed across 110 events.
They bought Under at 82¢ after a major move toward Under, showing confidence even at a high price.

$1,082 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

94% winner on Under

Sharp bettor with a 94% historical win rate and nearly $1M profit bought $4k of Under at 61¢, ahead of a move to 68¢.

This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $968k lifetime.
They bought $4k of Under at 61¢, and the market has already moved to 68¢.
Their entry implies they saw meaningful value despite a heavily traded market.

$4,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports wallet with a long cross-market track record is buying Under after a sharp market move toward lower scoring.

This bettor has won 62% of 996 resolved bets and is up about $1.14M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 75 events with $2.9M tracked in this pattern.
Buying Under at 49¢ follows a large 1-day move toward lower scoring odds.

$1,513 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable 796-bet sports sharp

Surface because a profitable 796-bet wallet with a 75% win rate bought Over during a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $30K lifetime.
They bought Over at 76¢ during a 329x pre-event volume spike.
The market is now around 60¢, meaning the same side is available much cheaper than their entry.

$1,149 on Over | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable sharp buying Over

Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet bought Over during a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price later moving against the entry.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $31.6K lifetime.
The market saw a 329x volume spike versus its historical average.
They bought Over at 76¢, though the market has since fallen to about 60¢.

$1,149 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven soccer bettor

Proven profitable wallet bought Over into a major volume spike, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets over 513 markets and is up $24K lifetime.
The market saw a 329x volume spike, suggesting unusual attention around this total.
They bought Over at 76¢, though the market has since dropped to 60¢.

$1,149 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%

Five sharp wallets on Over

Five profitable wallets with strong long-term records bought Over together during a major pre-event volume spike, making this a high-conviction cluster despite price moving lower afterward.

Five profitable wallets all bought Over, totaling about $8.0K in the same direction.
Several of these bettors win 75–80% of resolved trades and are up $18.9K–$31.6K lifetime.
Market volume spiked 135x above normal before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.

$8,046 on Over

85% winner buying Over

Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is buying Over in a relatively quiet soccer totals market, backed by prior large-bet flags.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $5.5K lifetime.
They bought $2.1K of Over at 80¢ in a market with only $4.3K total volume.
The wallet has been flagged 6 times before, suggesting a repeat pattern of large conviction bets.

$2,080 on Over | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0x2005...75ea — Outcome 61444463, $11,825 (55% win rate)
0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 61444463, $10,000 (78% win rate)
0x6204...0b06 — Outcome 61444463, $4,441 (64% win rate)
0x05e3...4b87 — Outcome 61444463, $4,000 (98% win rate)
0x7203...795a — Outcome 61444463, $2,943 (80% win rate)
0x319f...500b — Outcome 61444463, $2,600 (86% win rate)
0xbd93...56c0 — Outcome 61444463, $1,956 (84% win rate)
0x48e0...826d — Outcome 61444463, $1,800 (79% win rate)
0x820a...ca12 — Outcome 61444463, $1,200 (52% win rate)
0x29a6...6ea4 — Outcome 61444463, $1,000 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Montevideo City Torque won't win

Covers 1 related market

Iraq will win today

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

ResolvedChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets$38,085 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFA Cup

In the upcoming FA Cup game between Chelsea FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for May 16 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Chelsea FC and Manchester City FC combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.