Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $93,185.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor doubling down on Cubs

A highly profitable sharp bettor added to an existing Cubs position despite a major adverse price move, making this a notable contrarian sports trade.

This bettor wins 86% of 292 resolved positions and is up $102,895 lifetime.
They added $2,247 to an existing Cubs position at 50¢, signaling increased conviction despite Cubs odds falling to 28%.
The trade is currently underwater after a 26-point price drop, making it a high-conviction but higher-risk contrarian position.

$2,247 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 86%

Serial sharp adding to Miami

A proven 79% winner with a 32-event track record added to Miami at 47%, though the price has since risen to 58%.

This bettor wins 79% of trades across 67 resolved positions and is up $37,669.
They have traded 32 different events with the same strong win rate, indicating a repeatable edge.
The Miami price has risen from 47¢ to 58¢, so the original entry was more attractive than the current market.

$1,278 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 74%

Coordinated Marlins buying by sharp bettors

Eleven wallets committed nearly $90,000 to Miami, including bettors with exceptionally strong historical records, before the market moved to 100%.

Eleven wallets bought Miami for nearly $90,000, with major entries around 43–47¢ before the price reached 100%.
The group included a bettor with a 96% win rate over 3,126 resolved bets and another at 79% over 19 bets.
The one opposing Cubs seller had only a 25% win rate across four resolved bets, adding limited support to the Miami thesis.

$89,660 on Miami Marlins

Top Holders

0x1d1a...0df6 — Outcome 14355583, $69,131 (58% win rate)
0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 14355583, $55,555 (49% win rate)
0x3170...c6a0 — Outcome 14355583, $36,261 (67% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 14355583, $24,319
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 14355583, $7,566 (57% win rate)
0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 14355583, $4,500 (59% win rate)
0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 14355583, $4,500 (58% win rate)
0xe077...f5ee — Outcome 14355583, $4,494 (86% win rate)
0xec98...afcd — Outcome 14355583, $4,406 (59% win rate)
0xb6ff...3535 — Outcome 14355583, $3,058

Related Theses

Bangladesh will beat Sri Lanka

Covers 1 related market

Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins

1dChicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins$93,185 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 6 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CHC

81-63

Final

MIA

72-72

CHC -142MIA +118O/U 8

Venue

loanDepot park, Miami

Attendance

29,526

Price History — “Miami Marlins”

97¢