Part of: China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo

China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,929.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

97% winner backing Medvedev

A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and extensive cross-market activity bought Medvedev before the odds rose from 89% to 92%.

This bettor has won 97% of 5,832 resolved positions and earned about $329,000.
They bought Medvedev at 89¢, and the market has since moved to 92¢.
The wallet has traded across 209 events, with a 97% win rate overall.

$1,280 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A profitable, highly active trader bought Medvedev as volume spiked and the market moved sharply in his favor, providing corroborating momentum signals.

This trader is up $8.2M across more than 108,000 resolved bets, though the record does not by itself establish an edge on this match.
The $2,529 buy coincided with a 22.8× volume spike and a 17-point rise in Medvedev’s price.
Medvedev was bought at 88¢ in a liquid market with an 88% current probability.

$2,529 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven 92% bettor adding to Medvedev

A proven bettor with a 92% record added to a Medvedev position at 65¢ as volume surged and the price rose, though the current 88¢ price is above the suggested entry ceiling.

This bettor has won 85 of 92 resolved bets and is up $15,885 lifetime.
They added $2,000 to Medvedev at 65¢; the price has since climbed to 88¢ amid a 22.8× volume spike.
The current 88¢ price is above the 75¢ copy ceiling based on their entry.

$2,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 93%

Serial trader with 88% wins

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% record added to an existing Cerundolo position at 33¢.

This bettor has won 14 of 16 resolved positions and is up $148,622 on $1.1M invested.
They added $2,545 to an existing Cerundolo position at 33¢, despite current odds being 28%.
The wallet has traded across 26 events, showing a repeatable cross-market approach.

$2,545 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 77%

Three-wallet cluster with proven bettors

Three wallets put $8,516 behind Medvedev, including two highly profitable bettors with strong records, and the market moved up from their entries.

Three wallets bought Medvedev for a combined $8,516, with entries at 75–82¢.
One bettor has won 71% of nearly 120,000 resolved bets and is up $1.18M; another has won 85% and is up $801K.
Medvedev’s odds have risen to 82% from the cluster’s roughly 77¢ weighted entry.

$5,575 on Daniil Medvedev