Part of: Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
This Cincinnati Open prediction market tracks whether Andrey Rublev or Nuno Borges advances in their scheduled August 18, 2026 match. Live odds are available on the market page; the market has $64,675 in tracked smart money and resolves by August 25, 2026, unless the match is canceled or remains undecided.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,744.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Linked cluster backs Nuno Borges
A 12-wallet Nuno Borges cluster, including linked funding and a proven 79% bettor, drove a major pre-event volume spike despite contradictory smaller Rublev buying.
- Twelve wallets committed $63,475 to Nuno Borges, with four sharing a funder and signaling coordinated conviction.
- A bettor with 79% wins across 1,115 resolved bets and a reported 21% edge bought Nuno Borges.
- The market saw a 145.9x historical volume spike, while Nuno Borges remained near 60% after earlier buying at 64–65%.
$45,627 on Nuno Borges
85% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial bettor with an exceptional 85% win rate and substantial edge is backing Rublev at 61%.
- This bettor has won 85% of 280 resolved positions and earned $1.34 million in profit.
- Their average win price is 48%, making this record far stronger than simply betting heavy favorites.
- The fresh $1,525 position backs Rublev at 61% in a liquid tennis market, with a 71% copy ceiling.
$1,200 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 86%
Proven serial tennis bettor
A highly experienced bettor with 1,114 resolved trades and a substantial edge is buying Rublev at 61% in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor wins 79% of 1,114 resolved trades and is up nearly $499,000.
- Their results imply a meaningful edge: they average 58% entry odds while winning 79%.
- The fresh $2,000 Rublev position is priced at 61%, close to the current market ask.
$3,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor adds to Rublev
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 87% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Rublev position at 64%.
- This bettor has won 87% of 671 resolved trades and is up $68,046 lifetime.
- The $4,000 buy adds to an existing $6,250 Rublev position, signaling increased conviction at 64%.
- The trader has positioned across 61 markets and 60 events, with a documented edge over implied odds.
$4,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 87%
Serial trader scaling into Nuno Borges
A highly active serial cross-market trader is adding $7,032 to an existing Nuno Borges position at 40%, though the historical edge is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor has traded 493 markets across 440 events, with 5,193 resolved bets and a 71% win rate.
- The $7,032 purchase adds to an existing $26,348 Nuno Borges position, signaling increased conviction at 40%.
- The bet represents 57.6% of the market's 24-hour volume, despite a relatively deep $102,876 liquidity pool.
$9,359 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 73%
85% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial bettor with an exceptional 85% win rate and substantial edge is backing Rublev at 61%.
- This bettor has won 85% of 280 resolved positions and earned $1.34 million in profit.
- Their average win price is 48%, making this record far stronger than simply betting heavy favorites.
- The fresh $1,525 position backs Rublev at 61% in a liquid tennis market, with a 71% copy ceiling.
$1,525 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 86%
Serial trader scaling into Nuno Borges
A highly active serial cross-market trader is adding $7,032 to an existing Nuno Borges position at 40%, though the historical edge is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor has traded 493 markets across 440 events, with 5,193 resolved bets and a 71% win rate.
- The $7,032 purchase adds to an existing $26,348 Nuno Borges position, signaling increased conviction at 40%.
- The bet represents 57.6% of the market's 24-hour volume, despite a relatively deep $102,876 liquidity pool.
$7,032 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 73%
Proven serial tennis bettor
A highly experienced bettor with 1,114 resolved trades and a substantial edge is buying Rublev at 61% in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor wins 79% of 1,114 resolved trades and is up nearly $499,000.
- Their results imply a meaningful edge: they average 58% entry odds while winning 79%.
- The fresh $2,000 Rublev position is priced at 61%, close to the current market ask.
$2,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 79%
95% win-rate serial sports bettor
A highly proven tennis bettor with a 95% win rate and $874,407 lifetime profit placed a fresh $2,000 bet on Rublev at 61%.
- This bettor wins 95% of 1,821 resolved positions and is up $874,407 lifetime.
- They placed a fresh $2,000 bet on Andrey Rublev at 61%, representing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
- The wallet has traded across 328 events, making this part of a broad and consistent betting pattern rather than an isolated wager.
$2,001 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xe76f...d40c — Outcome 88792547, $98,707 (100% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 88792547, $84,244 (90% win rate)
- 0xb2d2...3910 — Outcome 88792547, $45,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 88792547, $29,317 (57% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 88792547, $25,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Outcome 88792547, $20,000 (40% win rate)
- 0x7523...4c4c — Outcome 88792547, $20,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 88792547, $17,977 (77% win rate)
- 0xd607...842a — Outcome 88792547, $14,582 (84% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Outcome 88792547, $12,369 (49% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin dips to $60K, not $50K
Covers 8 related markets
Bitcoin stays below 70K
Covers 5 related markets
Bitcoin will swing between $60K–$70K
Covers 7 related markets
Machado enters Venezuela in July
Covers 4 related markets
Nigma wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
Four or five total goals
Covers 3 related markets
Bitcoin bottoms near $67,500
Covers 7 related markets
