Part of: Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur
This Cincinnati Open prediction market covers whether Arthur Fils or Alex de Minaur advances in their scheduled August 19, 2026 match. The market tracks $10,000 in smart money, with recent signals showing activity on both players, and resolves when a winner is determined or by August 26, 2026 under the market rules.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $131,101.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
91% winner backs de Minaur
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $20,000 bet on Alex de Minaur amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $7.68M across 251 positions.
- They made a fresh $20,000 bet on Alex de Minaur at 41¢, despite the market pricing him near 40%.
- Trading activity was 333.8 times the historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$10,000 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 90%
91% winner backs de Minaur
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $20,000 bet on Alex de Minaur amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $7.68M across 251 positions.
- They made a fresh $20,000 bet on Alex de Minaur at 41¢, despite the market pricing him near 40%.
- Trading activity was 333.8 times the historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$9,000 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 90%
Seven-wallet tennis conviction cluster
Seven wallets, including several profitable high-volume bettors, coordinated roughly $64,000 into Arthur Fils at 52–87¢ before the market moved to 100%, although the positions are now closed.
- Seven wallets committed nearly $64,000 to Arthur Fils, including bettors with 81%, 83%, and 88% win rates.
- The coordinated buying preceded an 18-point price jump and a move from roughly 52–87¢ entries to 100%.
- Most positions were subsequently closed, so this is stronger as a proven signal to study than as a live entry.
$63,951 on Arthur Fils
91% winner backs de Minaur
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $20,000 bet on Alex de Minaur amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $7.68M across 251 positions.
- They made a fresh $20,000 bet on Alex de Minaur at 41¢, despite the market pricing him near 40%.
- Trading activity was 333.8 times the historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$20,000 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp bettor scaling into Fils
A proven 82% winner with substantial historical edge is adding to Arthur Fils during an exceptional pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $46,195 lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing $10,208 Arthur Fils position at 61¢, signaling sustained conviction.
- Trading volume was 333.8x the historical average, while the market remains liquid with a 1¢ spread.
$5,300 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor scales into Fils
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding $10,465 to an existing Arthur Fils position at 62%.
- This bettor has won 82% of 261 resolved trades and is up $644,422.
- The entry price of 62% is well below the wallet’s 82% historical win rate, with a reported 27% edge over implied odds.
- This is an additional $10,465 bet on top of a $20,000 Arthur Fils position, signaling increased conviction.
$10,465 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 82%
117-win bettor adds to Fils
A highly proven bettor with 117 straight wins is adding to an existing Arthur Fils position at 62 cents.
- This bettor has won 117 of 117 resolved bets and is up $70,384 lifetime.
- The $3,600 purchase adds to an existing Arthur Fils position, signaling continued conviction at 62 cents.
- The trader has positioned across 40 events and 45 markets, with $205,900 in total activity.
$4,000 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% winner adds to De Minaur
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $4,785 to an existing Alex de Minaur position at 39%.
- This bettor wins 93% of 115 resolved trades and is up $124,754 lifetime.
- The wallet is scaling an existing Alex de Minaur position with another $4,785 at 39%.
- The 39¢ entry is near the 40% market price, with a 10-point copy ceiling at 49¢.
$4,785 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 92%
117-win bettor adds to Fils
A highly proven bettor with 117 straight wins is adding to an existing Arthur Fils position at 62 cents.
- This bettor has won 117 of 117 resolved bets and is up $70,384 lifetime.
- The $3,600 purchase adds to an existing Arthur Fils position, signaling continued conviction at 62 cents.
- The trader has positioned across 40 events and 45 markets, with $205,900 in total activity.
$3,600 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 94617042, $124,798 (90% win rate)
- 0x464f...01b7 — Outcome 94617042, $20,140
- 0xf360...1aed — Outcome 94617042, $20,000
- 0xe954...1ef1 — Outcome 94617042, $13,999 (92% win rate)
- 0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 94617042, $6,236 (75% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 94617042, $5,419 (65% win rate)
- 0x03f4...7e44 — Outcome 94617042, $3,110 (67% win rate)
- 0xa171...f921 — Outcome 94617042, $3,031
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 94617042, $2,959 (94% win rate)
- 0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 94617042, $2,930 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Norway advances in goalfest
Covers 3 related markets
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Covers 3 related markets
Belgium advances in low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Ann Li beats Alexandrova
Covers 1 related market
