Part of: Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe
This Cincinnati Open prediction market covers the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Frances Tiafoe, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with smart money activity currently reported on both Nakashima and Tiafoe; the market closes by August 29, 2026, unless resolved earlier.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $110,842.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Four-wallet Nakashima buying cluster
Four-wallet coordinated buying, a 42x volume surge, and an 19-point price jump support this sharp early Nakashima position despite the trader's market-rate win profile.
- Four wallets bought Brandon Nakashima for $21,637, showing coordinated one-sided conviction.
- The position entered at 37¢ and Nakashima has since risen to 56%, alongside an 19-point price jump.
- The wallet has a 65% win rate across 22,890 resolved bets and more than $6.3 million in recorded profit.
$3,158 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 65%
98% winner adds to Tiafoe
A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate added to a large Tiafoe position amid a 70.9x volume spike and coordinated buying by three wallets.
- This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved positions and earned $254,046 in profit.
- The wallet added $6,859 to Tiafoe at 44¢, building an existing $15,588 position despite the price falling to 38¢.
- Three wallets bought Tiafoe for $15,222 total during a 70.9x volume spike versus normal activity.
$6,859 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 98%
Four-wallet Nakashima buying cluster
Four-wallet coordinated buying, a 42x volume surge, and an 19-point price jump support this sharp early Nakashima position despite the trader's market-rate win profile.
- Four wallets bought Brandon Nakashima for $21,637, showing coordinated one-sided conviction.
- The position entered at 37¢ and Nakashima has since risen to 56%, alongside an 19-point price jump.
- The wallet has a 65% win rate across 22,890 resolved bets and more than $6.3 million in recorded profit.
$1,455 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp bettor scaling into Tiafoe
A highly profitable, 85% win-rate bettor added $50,000 to Frances Tiafoe amid a major volume spike and coordinated buying.
- This bettor has won 85% of 500 positions and earned $6.6 million in profit.
- They added $50,000 to an existing Frances Tiafoe position, bringing their total investment to roughly $149,000.
- Three wallets bought Tiafoe together as market activity surged to 156 times its historical average.
$50,000 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettors scale into Tiafoe
Three wallets committed $65.5K to Tiafoe during a 332x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with 85%-90% win rates who are adding to existing positions.
- Two bettors with 85% and 90% win rates are adding to their existing Tiafoe positions.
- Three wallets committed $65,548 in one direction during a 332x historical volume spike.
- The entry near 49%-50% implies substantial value if Tiafoe is more likely than the market's current 48% estimate.
$11,188 on Frances Tiafoe
Sharp bettor backs Nakashima
A highly profitable, high-volume sharp bettor made a sizable fresh bet on Nakashima at near-even odds in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 86% of 350 resolved positions and is up $1.63 million.
- The $5,200 bet is substantial relative to the market’s recent trading activity, signaling meaningful conviction.
- Nakashima was bought at 52¢, implying the bettor sees value near even odds despite the market being nearly balanced.
$5,200 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 86%
Serial sharp scaling into Nakashima
A proven 84% win-rate bettor with substantial cross-market experience is adding $4,000 to an existing Nakashima position at 52%.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $58,809 lifetime.
- The trader has bet across 34 events and 39 markets, showing a consistent multi-market record.
- A fresh $4,000 addition reinforces an existing $18,846 Nakashima position at 52¢.
$4,000 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 84%
96% winner backs Nakashima
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate joined a three-wallet $26.6K Nakashima buying push, supported by a major volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 96% of 337 resolved trades bought $17.4K of Nakashima at 58¢ and is up $1.1M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Nakashima for a combined $26,609, while the market experienced a 65.5x volume spike.
- The market moved from the sharp bettor’s 58¢ entry to 60¢, providing early confirmation of the direction.
$22,749 on Brandon Nakashima
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced bettor with a 79% win rate and $512,514 lifetime profit is selling Nakashima at 51%, implying a buy on Tiafoe at 49%.
- This bettor wins 79% of 1,149 resolved trades and is up $512,514 lifetime.
- After trading across 907 markets and 742 events, the wallet is taking the Tiafoe side at an effective 49% price.
- The $1,033 position is a fresh directional signal, though the market is fairly liquid and the edge is modest at current odds.
$1,033 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor backs Nakashima
A highly profitable, high-volume sharp bettor made a sizable fresh bet on Nakashima at near-even odds in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 86% of 350 resolved positions and is up $1.63 million.
- The $5,200 bet is substantial relative to the market’s recent trading activity, signaling meaningful conviction.
- Nakashima was bought at 52¢, implying the bettor sees value near even odds despite the market being nearly balanced.
$5,200 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 65419211, $37,536 (96% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 65419211, $33,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 65419211, $20,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xd607...842a — Outcome 65419211, $18,846 (84% win rate)
- 0xe394...289c — Outcome 65419211, $17,692 (85% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 65419211, $13,678 (59% win rate)
- 0x072c...f037 — Outcome 65419211, $10,721 (67% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 65419211, $10,000 (76% win rate)
- 0xe390...e80f — Outcome 65419211, $10,000
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 65419211, $9,261 (65% win rate)
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