What is the Pegula vs Swiatek prediction market?

It is a sports prediction market on the Cincinnati Open match between Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek. The winning outcome is the player who advances.

When is the Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek match scheduled?

The match is scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

How does this market resolve?

The market resolves to Jessica Pegula if she advances, or to Iga Swiatek if she advances. Special cancellation, tie, or extended-delay conditions follow the exchange’s stated rules.

How much smart money is tracked in this market?

PolySpotter tracks $132,199 in smart-money activity across two signals for the Pegula vs Swiatek market.

When is the market’s resolution date?

The listed resolution date is August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC, unless the exchange’s resolution conditions determine an earlier outcome.

Part of: Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek

This Cincinnati Open prediction market tracks whether Jessica Pegula or Iga Swiatek advances in their scheduled August 22, 2026 match. The market has $132,199 in tracked smart-money activity across two signals, and resolves by August 29, 2026, subject to the listed match-completion rules.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Jessica Pegula. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $363,570.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Linked Pegula cluster amid volume surge

An eight-wallet linked cluster deployed $50,000 on Pegula during a 147x volume spike, though an even larger opposing Swiatek flow makes the signal contested.

Eight linked wallets bought about $50,000 of Pegula, indicating coordinated conviction from a shared three-funder cluster.
The market saw a 147x historical volume spike and is up 24% over one day, suggesting unusually informed or event-driven activity.
A larger $90,721 Swiatek cluster is also present, so the direction is contested rather than a one-sided copy trade.

$143,204 on Jessica Pegula

Four-wallet Swiatek buying cluster

Four wallets bought Iga Swiatek amid a 162.7x volume spike and an 18.9-point price surge, though the featured wallet was adding to an existing position rather than making a fresh bet.

Four wallets bought Iga Swiatek for $92,850 as the market saw a 162.7x spike in activity.
The coordinated buying pushed Swiatek's price up 18.9 percentage points, from the low 60s toward 74%.
This wallet already had $293,852 invested in Swiatek and added about $57,600 at a weighted 65¢ entry.

$60,246 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 47%

Four-wallet Swiatek buying cluster

Four wallets bought Iga Swiatek amid a 162.7x volume spike and an 18.9-point price surge, though the featured wallet was adding to an existing position rather than making a fresh bet.

Four wallets bought Iga Swiatek for $92,850 as the market saw a 162.7x spike in activity.
The coordinated buying pushed Swiatek's price up 18.9 percentage points, from the low 60s toward 74%.
This wallet already had $293,852 invested in Swiatek and added about $57,600 at a weighted 65¢ entry.

$57,606 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 47%

Sharp bettor scaling into Iga

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $10,350 to an existing Iga Swiatek position.

This bettor wins 82% of 273 resolved trades and is up $704,917 lifetime.
They are adding $10,350 to an existing Iga Swiatek position, bringing their investment to roughly $25,350.
The market has moved 10 percentage points in Iga’s direction, while the trader’s entry remains near the current 69% price.

$4,950 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 82%

98% winner scaling into Iga

An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Iga Swiatek position at 70%.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved trades and is up $254,573 lifetime.
They are adding nearly $10,000 to an existing $21,127 Iga Swiatek position, signaling increased conviction.
The 70¢ entry implies the bettor sees Iga as the likely winner despite already holding a sizable position.

$4,930 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner scaling into Iga

An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Iga Swiatek position at 70%.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved trades and is up $254,573 lifetime.
They are adding nearly $10,000 to an existing $21,127 Iga Swiatek position, signaling increased conviction.
The 70¢ entry implies the bettor sees Iga as the likely winner despite already holding a sizable position.

$9,859 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp bettors buy Swiatek into weakness

Eight wallets deployed $51.7K toward Iga Swiatek amid a 105x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with 86% and 95% win rates.

Eight wallets placed $51,678 toward Iga Swiatek during a 105x surge in market activity.
Two major participants win 86% and 95% of their bets, with one up $1.65M and another up $246K.
Iga Swiatek is available near 40¢ after falling sharply, while the cluster continued buying at roughly 38–50¢.

$30,382 on Iga Swiatek

96% winner scales into Swiatek

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate added $26,269 to an existing Iga Swiatek position at 69¢ during a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.09 million across 330 bets.
They added $26,269 to an existing Iga Swiatek position at 69¢, bringing total investment to about $64,000.
The trades coincided with a 240x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong conviction despite the market already pricing Swiatek near 70%.

$26,269 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% win-rate serial trader adds

A highly successful serial cross-market trader with a 98% win rate is adding $6,000 to an existing Iga Swiatek position at a price near market odds.

This bettor has won 354 of 362 resolved trades, with nearly $2 million traded across 170 markets.
They are adding $6,000 to an existing Iga Swiatek position at 69¢, signaling continued conviction.
Iga Swiatek is currently priced around 68%, so the entry is close to the available market price rather than chasing a sharp move.

$6,000 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp bettor scaling into Iga

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $10,350 to an existing Iga Swiatek position.

This bettor wins 82% of 273 resolved trades and is up $704,917 lifetime.
They are adding $10,350 to an existing Iga Swiatek position, bringing their investment to roughly $25,350.
The market has moved 10 percentage points in Iga’s direction, while the trader’s entry remains near the current 69% price.

$10,350 on Iga Swiatek | Wallet win rate: 82%