Part of: Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez
This Cincinnati Open prediction market covers the tennis match between Learner Tien and Sebastian Baez, scheduled for August 16, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution set for August 23, 2026; smart-money tracking currently shows $56,553 across one signal.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,045.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Linked cluster drove Tien repricing
A linked three-wallet cluster deployed $56.6K on Learner Tien amid a 520x volume spike, pushing the market from roughly 87–89% to 100%, though much of the buying added to existing positions.
- Three linked wallets bought $56,553 on Learner Tien, including a bettor up nearly $39M lifetime.
- The trades coincided with a 519.8x historical volume spike and a rapid move to 100% odds.
- Most of the buying added to existing Tien positions, so the signal is strong but less fresh than a new entry.
$56,553 on Learner Tien
Serial sharp scaling into Tien
A serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate and positive edge added $16.5K to an existing Learner Tien position at 80%.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $65,337 across $760,153 invested.
- They added $16,492 to an existing Learner Tien position, showing increased conviction in the 80¢ entry.
- The bet was large relative to the detected 24-hour market volume, while Tien’s price has since risen to about 86¢.
$16,492 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 74595020, $60,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x4afb...ed2b — Outcome 74595020, $5,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xa06e...f2f9 — Outcome 74595020, $2,174 (29% win rate)
- 0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 74595020, $2,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 74595020, $1,357 (59% win rate)
- 0xf42a...8470 — Outcome 74595020, $1,332
- 0xc144...c809 — Outcome 74595020, $1,296 (74% win rate)
- 0xd898...a47d — Outcome 74595020, $1,119 (63% win rate)
- 0x75a7...2d61 — Outcome 74595020, $1,050 (29% win rate)
- 0x5ce4...62fc — Outcome 74595020, $1,000 (75% win rate)
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