Part of: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei Nishikori
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Kei Nishikori in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Kei Nishikori. This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,886.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial trader scaling into Nishikori
A highly active serial trader added to an existing Nishikori position as the price jumped 20 percentage points, though their 72% win rate is roughly in line with their average winning entry price.
- This bettor has traded 448 markets across 375 events and is up nearly $20,000 lifetime.
- They added $1,000 to an existing Nishikori position at 70¢, shortly before the price rose to 76¢.
- The rapid 20-point move in five minutes supports the direction, although this was an addition rather than a fresh position.
$1,198 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 72%
Serial trader scaling into Nishikori
A highly active serial trader added to an existing Nishikori position as the price jumped 20 percentage points, though their 72% win rate is roughly in line with their average winning entry price.
- This bettor has traded 448 markets across 375 events and is up nearly $20,000 lifetime.
- They added $1,000 to an existing Nishikori position at 70¢, shortly before the price rose to 76¢.
- The rapid 20-point move in five minutes supports the direction, although this was an addition rather than a fresh position.
$1,000 on Kei Nishikori | Wallet win rate: 72%
Six-wallet Nishikori conviction cluster
Six wallets deployed $21.1K on Nishikori amid a 122x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 79% win rate and strong historical edge.
- Six wallets committed $21,104 to Nishikori, with most buying around 50¢ before the price surged to roughly 78¢.
- One bettor wins 79% of 290 resolved positions at an average 46¢ entry and is up $726,827.
- Trading volume reached 122.6 times its historical average, while Nishikori rose sharply from the 50¢ entry area.
$21,104 on Kei Nishikori
95% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is making a fresh $1,100 wager at 45¢ despite the market pricing Marco Trungelliti at only 44%.
- This bettor has won 277 of 293 resolved positions, earning $195,634 in profit.
- The 45¢ entry is consistent with their average winning price and implies substantial edge at a modest market price.
- They have traded across 122 events, suggesting a broad, repeatable betting process rather than a one-off wager.
$1,100 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 93%
Serial sharp backing Trungelliti
A proven serial bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive P&L placed a concentrated bet on Marco Trungelliti in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor has won 78% of 462 resolved trades and is up $354,702 lifetime.
- The $1,563 position represents about two-thirds of the market's recent trading volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
- Marco Trungelliti was bought at 47¢, while the market is currently pricing the outcome near 46%.
$1,563 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 77%
102-0 serial bettor adds to Marco
A proven 102-0 bettor is adding $5,920 to an existing Marco Trungelliti position in a thin market at 46-47 cents.
- This bettor has won 102 of 102 resolved trades, with $38,833 in profit and a 24-point edge over average entry odds.
- They added $5,920 to an existing Marco Trungelliti position, bringing total investment to about $18,600.
- The bet is highly concentrated in a market with only $2,342 in 24-hour volume, while the wallet has traded across 25 events.
$5,920 on Marco Trungelliti | Wallet win rate: 99%
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