Part of: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $216,997.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader scales into Rocha

A serial cross-market trader added to an existing large Henrique Rocha position during a 28x volume spike and 22-point price surge, though their historical record offers only modest evidence of edge.

  • This trader has made bets across 45 events and is up $18,862 across 706 resolved positions.
  • They added $2,167 to an existing $9,122 Henrique Rocha position as volume reached 28 times its historical average.
  • Henrique Rocha’s price rose 22 percentage points during the detected flow, signaling strong concentrated momentum.

$2,112 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 61%

Serial trader scales into Rocha

A serial cross-market trader added to an existing large Henrique Rocha position during a 28x volume spike and 22-point price surge, though their historical record offers only modest evidence of edge.

  • This trader has made bets across 45 events and is up $18,862 across 706 resolved positions.
  • They added $2,167 to an existing $9,122 Henrique Rocha position as volume reached 28 times its historical average.
  • Henrique Rocha’s price rose 22 percentage points during the detected flow, signaling strong concentrated momentum.

$1,161 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 61%

Serial trader scales into Rocha

A serial cross-market trader added to an existing large Henrique Rocha position during a 28x volume spike and 22-point price surge, though their historical record offers only modest evidence of edge.

  • This trader has made bets across 45 events and is up $18,862 across 706 resolved positions.
  • They added $2,167 to an existing $9,122 Henrique Rocha position as volume reached 28 times its historical average.
  • Henrique Rocha’s price rose 22 percentage points during the detected flow, signaling strong concentrated momentum.

$2,167 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 61%

Three-wallet Rocha accumulation

Three profitable high-volume traders added $6,814 to Henrique Rocha at 32¢ amid a 92.6x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated directional signal despite limited proven win-rate edge.

  • Three wallets bought Henrique Rocha at 32¢, totaling $6,814, while the market now prices him at 35¢.
  • The trades arrived during a 92.6x spike versus historical volume, suggesting unusually concentrated interest before the match.
  • These wallets have substantial lifetime profits, though their win rates do not clearly exceed the prices they typically pay.

$6,814 on Henrique Rocha

Proven bettor adds to Giron

A proven 80% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $8.3k to an existing Marcos Giron position while maintaining a broad serial-trading record.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades (49 of 61) while entering at average odds of 55%.
  • They are adding $8,279 to an existing Giron position, showing continued conviction despite the price sitting near 69%.
  • The trader has placed bets across 41 events with $140,250 in tracked volume, rather than relying on a single market.

$8,151 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 82%

Proven bettor adds to Giron

A proven 80% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $8.3k to an existing Marcos Giron position while maintaining a broad serial-trading record.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades (49 of 61) while entering at average odds of 55%.
  • They are adding $8,279 to an existing Giron position, showing continued conviction despite the price sitting near 69%.
  • The trader has placed bets across 41 events with $140,250 in tracked volume, rather than relying on a single market.

$8,279 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor scaling into Giron

Three wallets bought $96,324 of Marcos Giron, led by a highly profitable 84% winner scaling into an existing position.

  • The lead bettor wins 84% of 435 resolved bets and is up $5.3 million lifetime.
  • Three wallets concentrated $96,324 on Giron, including $87,920 from the lead wallet adding to its existing position.
  • The entry price of 68¢ implies the traders see Giron as meaningfully undervalued despite already trading near 68% odds.

$9,088 on Marcos Giron

Elite tennis bettor backs Giron

A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and 34-point edge made a concentrated $3,386 purchase of Marcos Giron.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 429 resolved positions and is up $5.2 million.
  • The $3,386 wager is concentrated on Marcos Giron at 67¢, despite the market already pricing him as a 68% favorite.
  • The wallet has traded across 796 markets and 715 events, suggesting substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.

$37,902 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor scales into Giron

A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $5.2M lifetime P&L is adding nearly $88K to an existing Marcos Giron position at 68¢.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 429 resolved trades and is up $5.2M lifetime.
  • They added nearly $88K to an existing Giron position, showing strong conviction rather than a one-off wager.
  • The 68¢ entry implies confidence that Giron is materially more likely than the market’s 68% estimate suggests.

$87,920 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 88%

Elite tennis bettor backs Giron

A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and 34-point edge made a concentrated $3,386 purchase of Marcos Giron.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 429 resolved positions and is up $5.2 million.
  • The $3,386 wager is concentrated on Marcos Giron at 67¢, despite the market already pricing him as a 68% favorite.
  • The wallet has traded across 796 markets and 715 events, suggesting substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.

$50,018 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 51717866, $136,368 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 51717866, $5,634 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 51717866, $4,087 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x018b...5372 Outcome 51717866, $2,647 (76% win rate)
  5. 0xddf4...2680 Outcome 51717866, $2,442 (94% win rate)
  6. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 51717866, $1,237 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x081e...f76e Outcome 51717866, $1,040 (93% win rate)
  8. 0x1713...1986 Outcome 51717866, $735 (95% win rate)
  9. 0x1246...5402 Outcome 51717866, $550
  10. 0x37e6...794e Outcome 51717866, $500 (18% win rate)

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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

ResolvedCincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha$216,997 tracked11 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Henrique Rocha in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Marcos Giron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Henrique Rocha
102¢
66¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

29d ago

$2,112 on Henrique Rocha at 80¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

29d ago

$1,161 on Henrique Rocha at 80¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

29d ago

$2,167 on Henrique Rocha at 80¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

29d ago

$6,814 on Henrique Rocha at 32¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

29d ago

$8,151 on Marcos Giron at 70¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

30d ago

$8,279 on Marcos Giron at 70¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

29d ago

$9,088 on Marcos Giron at 68¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

30d ago

$37,902 on Marcos Giron at 67¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

30d ago

$87,920 on Marcos Giron at 68¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

30d ago

$50,018 on Marcos Giron at 67¢

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

30d ago

$3,386 on Marcos Giron at 67¢

Related Theses