Part of: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Henrique Rocha in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Marcos Giron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $216,997.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial trader scales into Rocha
A serial cross-market trader added to an existing large Henrique Rocha position during a 28x volume spike and 22-point price surge, though their historical record offers only modest evidence of edge.
- This trader has made bets across 45 events and is up $18,862 across 706 resolved positions.
- They added $2,167 to an existing $9,122 Henrique Rocha position as volume reached 28 times its historical average.
- Henrique Rocha’s price rose 22 percentage points during the detected flow, signaling strong concentrated momentum.
$2,112 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 61%
Serial trader scales into Rocha
A serial cross-market trader added to an existing large Henrique Rocha position during a 28x volume spike and 22-point price surge, though their historical record offers only modest evidence of edge.
- This trader has made bets across 45 events and is up $18,862 across 706 resolved positions.
- They added $2,167 to an existing $9,122 Henrique Rocha position as volume reached 28 times its historical average.
- Henrique Rocha’s price rose 22 percentage points during the detected flow, signaling strong concentrated momentum.
$1,161 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 61%
Serial trader scales into Rocha
A serial cross-market trader added to an existing large Henrique Rocha position during a 28x volume spike and 22-point price surge, though their historical record offers only modest evidence of edge.
- This trader has made bets across 45 events and is up $18,862 across 706 resolved positions.
- They added $2,167 to an existing $9,122 Henrique Rocha position as volume reached 28 times its historical average.
- Henrique Rocha’s price rose 22 percentage points during the detected flow, signaling strong concentrated momentum.
$2,167 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 61%
Three-wallet Rocha accumulation
Three profitable high-volume traders added $6,814 to Henrique Rocha at 32¢ amid a 92.6x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated directional signal despite limited proven win-rate edge.
- Three wallets bought Henrique Rocha at 32¢, totaling $6,814, while the market now prices him at 35¢.
- The trades arrived during a 92.6x spike versus historical volume, suggesting unusually concentrated interest before the match.
- These wallets have substantial lifetime profits, though their win rates do not clearly exceed the prices they typically pay.
$6,814 on Henrique Rocha
Proven bettor adds to Giron
A proven 80% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $8.3k to an existing Marcos Giron position while maintaining a broad serial-trading record.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades (49 of 61) while entering at average odds of 55%.
- They are adding $8,279 to an existing Giron position, showing continued conviction despite the price sitting near 69%.
- The trader has placed bets across 41 events with $140,250 in tracked volume, rather than relying on a single market.
$8,151 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 83%
Proven bettor adds to Giron
A proven 80% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $8.3k to an existing Marcos Giron position while maintaining a broad serial-trading record.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades (49 of 61) while entering at average odds of 55%.
- They are adding $8,279 to an existing Giron position, showing continued conviction despite the price sitting near 69%.
- The trader has placed bets across 41 events with $140,250 in tracked volume, rather than relying on a single market.
$8,279 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor scaling into Giron
Three wallets bought $96,324 of Marcos Giron, led by a highly profitable 84% winner scaling into an existing position.
- The lead bettor wins 84% of 435 resolved bets and is up $5.3 million lifetime.
- Three wallets concentrated $96,324 on Giron, including $87,920 from the lead wallet adding to its existing position.
- The entry price of 68¢ implies the traders see Giron as meaningfully undervalued despite already trading near 68% odds.
$9,088 on Marcos Giron
Elite tennis bettor backs Giron
A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and 34-point edge made a concentrated $3,386 purchase of Marcos Giron.
- This bettor wins 84% of 429 resolved positions and is up $5.2 million.
- The $3,386 wager is concentrated on Marcos Giron at 67¢, despite the market already pricing him as a 68% favorite.
- The wallet has traded across 796 markets and 715 events, suggesting substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
$37,902 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp bettor scales into Giron
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 84% win rate and $5.2M lifetime P&L is adding nearly $88K to an existing Marcos Giron position at 68¢.
- This bettor has won 84% of 429 resolved trades and is up $5.2M lifetime.
- They added nearly $88K to an existing Giron position, showing strong conviction rather than a one-off wager.
- The 68¢ entry implies confidence that Giron is materially more likely than the market’s 68% estimate suggests.
$87,920 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 88%
Elite tennis bettor backs Giron
A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and 34-point edge made a concentrated $3,386 purchase of Marcos Giron.
- This bettor wins 84% of 429 resolved positions and is up $5.2 million.
- The $3,386 wager is concentrated on Marcos Giron at 67¢, despite the market already pricing him as a 68% favorite.
- The wallet has traded across 796 markets and 715 events, suggesting substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.
$50,018 on Marcos Giron | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xdb85...152f — Marcos Giron, $136,368 (88% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Marcos Giron, $5,634 (99% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Marcos Giron, $4,087 (73% win rate)
- 0x018b...5372 — Marcos Giron, $2,647 (76% win rate)
- 0xddf4...2680 — Marcos Giron, $2,442 (94% win rate)
- 0x33c9...6f9a — Marcos Giron, $1,237 (82% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Marcos Giron, $1,040 (93% win rate)
- 0x1713...1986 — Marcos Giron, $735 (95% win rate)
- 0x1246...5402 — Marcos Giron, $550
- 0x37e6...794e — Marcos Giron, $500 (18% win rate)
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