Part of: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Jacob Fearnley in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Nicolas Mejia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,324.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Five seasoned bettors fade Mejia

Five consistently profitable, high-volume bettors simultaneously sold Nicolas Mejia at 80%, creating a notable coordinated signal that implies buying Jacob Fearnley near 20%.

Five bettors with roughly 60–63% win rates and combined lifetime profit above $135,000 all sold Mejia at 80¢ within seconds.
The coordinated $5,435 sell followed a 40.8-point surge in Mejia’s price and a 292x volume spike, signaling meaningful resistance at the favorite’s elevated price.
The trade implies these experienced bettors value Jacob Fearnley near 20¢ or higher after Mejia became heavily favored.

$7,934 on Jacob Fearnley

Serial trader ahead of tennis breakout

A highly active trader bought Nicolas Mejia before a 292x volume surge and sharp price breakout, providing strong corroborating momentum despite only a moderate historical win rate.

A $2,433 buy at 77¢ preceded Nicolas Mejia rising to 80%, with the market up 56% in one day.
Trading volume surged to 292 times its recent average across 11 trades, alongside a major price breakout.
This bettor has traded 2,128 markets across 1,566 events and is up $5.9 million lifetime, though the 66% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.

$2,433 on Nicolas Mejia | Wallet win rate: 69%

Four-wallet Fearnley buying cluster

Four linked wallets coordinated $12.9K into Jacob Fearnley, including a highly profitable bettor, making this a notable but conflicted tennis-market signal.

Four linked wallets committed $12,903 to Jacob Fearnley, with entries between 59¢ and 73¢.
One participant has a 63% win rate across 38,000 resolved bets and more than $36 million in lifetime profit.
The signal is contested: three other wallets also bought Nicolas Mejia for $7,054, while Fearnley has fallen to about 50¢.

$12,903 on Jacob Fearnley

Three-wallet Mejia accumulation

Three profitable, coordinated wallets added $7,054 to Nicolas Mejia at 38-39 cents amid a 939x volume spike and 21.5% daily price rise, though all already held positions.

Three wallets added $7,054 to Nicolas Mejia at 38-39¢ while the market moved up 21.5% in one day.
The trades came during a 939x volume spike, indicating unusually concentrated interest in Mejia.
All three wallets were already holding Mejia, so this is increased conviction rather than a fresh position; their combined histories are profitable but not exceptionally sharp.

$7,054 on Nicolas Mejia