Part of: Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov

Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Denis Shapovalov in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $98,357.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor adds to Shapovalov

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate is adding $30,000 to an existing Denis Shapovalov position despite the market moving to 30%.

This bettor has won 85% of 462 resolved positions and is up $5.76 million.
They added $30,000 to an existing Shapovalov position at 34%, showing continued conviction.
The 34¢ entry implies the bettor sees Shapovalov as meaningfully undervalued versus the market’s current 30% price.

$30,000 on Denis Shapovalov | Wallet win rate: 88%

Bettor adds before sharp price surge

A substantial follow-on bet preceded a 21-point price rise amid an unusually large volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate edge.

A $5,444 add-on bet at 65¢ was followed by Rafael Jodar rising to 77%.
Trading volume surged to 155 times its historical average, supporting the significance of the move.
The wallet has made over $2.8M lifetime but wins only 54% of resolved bets, so its track record is mixed.

$2,369 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 55%

Elite bettor leads four-wallet Shapovalov push

Four wallets committed $35,275 to Denis Shapovalov amid a 123x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate who added $30,000 to an existing position.

A bettor with an 85% win rate and $5.76M lifetime profit bought $30,000 of Shapovalov.
Four wallets committed $35,275 to Shapovalov during a 123x spike in market activity.
Most of the flow adds to existing Shapovalov positions, signaling increased conviction rather than a small speculative entry.

$35,275 on Denis Shapovalov

Bettor adds before sharp price surge

A substantial follow-on bet preceded a 21-point price rise amid an unusually large volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate edge.

A $5,444 add-on bet at 65¢ was followed by Rafael Jodar rising to 77%.
Trading volume surged to 155 times its historical average, supporting the significance of the move.
The wallet has made over $2.8M lifetime but wins only 54% of resolved bets, so its track record is mixed.

$5,444 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 55%

Elite bettor backs Shapovalov

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate made a concentrated $9,000 wager on Denis Shapovalov amid a 149x volume spike.

This bettor has won 92% of 225 resolved positions and is up $7.34 million.
They placed a concentrated $9,000 bet on Denis Shapovalov at 33¢, despite the market later falling to 26¢.
The market saw a 149x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity around this match.

$9,000 on Denis Shapovalov | Wallet win rate: 38%

Three-wallet Jodar buying surge

Three wallets committed $12.5K to Rafael Jodar during a 235x volume spike, including a profitable bettor with an 81% win rate.

Three wallets bought $12,455 of Rafael Jodar during a 235x historical volume spike.
One participating bettor has won 81% of 64 resolved bets and is up $34,519 lifetime.
Two wallets were adding to existing Jodar positions, signaling increased conviction despite the price dipping from 70% to 68%.

$14,796 on Rafael Jodar

Serial bettor buys tennis underdog

A highly experienced trader is buying the 32% underdog amid a 235x pre-event volume surge, though the wallet's track record shows only modest edge over market-implied prices.

This bettor has traded 19,537 resolved markets across 1,723 events and is up nearly $6.0 million.
The market saw a 235x surge versus its historical volume baseline, with six trades driving unusual pre-event activity.
Denis Shapovalov was bought at 32¢, implying the trader sees meaningful value despite the market pricing him as the underdog.

$1,473 on Denis Shapovalov | Wallet win rate: 69%