Part of: Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegula
This Cincinnati Open prediction market covers the match between Sorana Cirstea and Jessica Pegula, scheduled for August 19, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution set for August 26, 2026; PolySpotter tracks $15,795 in smart money and recent signals favoring Pegula.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,434.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable cluster backs Pegula
Three wallets committed $10.8K to Pegula, including highly profitable serial traders, while the market rose 5.7% and volume spiked dramatically.
- Three wallets bought $10,795 of Jessica Pegula, creating concentrated one-sided support in a tennis market.
- One bettor wins 98% of 358 resolved trades and is up $297,603; another wins 70% and is up $397,785.
- The market rose 5.7% in a 44.9x volume spike, although two wallets were adding to existing Pegula positions.
$10,795 on Jessica Pegula
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly experienced serial trader with 473 resolved bets and nearly $398K in profits bought Pegula at 66%, with the market now up to 80%.
- This bettor is up $397,662 across 473 resolved bets with a 70% win rate.
- They placed $5,000 on Jessica Pegula at 66%, and the price has since risen to 80%.
- The wallet has traded across 593 markets and 553 events, providing a substantial track record beyond a single bet.
$5,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 71%
98% winner adds to Pegula
A highly successful serial bettor with a 98% win rate added $5,000 to an existing Pegula position amid an extreme volume spike and subsequent price rise.
- This bettor has won 98% of 358 resolved trades and is up nearly $298,000 lifetime.
- They added $5,000 to an existing Jessica Pegula position at 87¢, showing increased conviction before the price reached 92¢.
- The market saw a 13,539x historical volume spike, while Pegula’s price rose 15 percentage points.
$3,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp bettor in four-wallet Pegula cluster
A proven 94% winner added heavily to Pegula alongside three linked wallets, though the position has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 94% of 16 resolved trades and is up $13,923.
- Four wallets sharing a funder committed $2,682 to Pegula, adding coordinated conviction.
- The 85¢ entry now trades near 64¢, so the thesis has not yet been validated and copying at the original price is risky.
$2,682 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 86%
98% winner adds to Pegula
A highly successful serial bettor with a 98% win rate added $5,000 to an existing Pegula position amid an extreme volume spike and subsequent price rise.
- This bettor has won 98% of 358 resolved trades and is up nearly $298,000 lifetime.
- They added $5,000 to an existing Jessica Pegula position at 87¢, showing increased conviction before the price reached 92¢.
- The market saw a 13,539x historical volume spike, while Pegula’s price rose 15 percentage points.
$5,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 98%
96% winner adds to Pegula
A highly profitable 96% bettor with a 17% edge added nearly $27,000 to an existing Pegula position, making this a strong sports copy-trade signal despite the market already favoring her.
- This bettor has won 301 of 315 resolved trades, with a $1.02 million lifetime profit and a 17% edge over implied odds.
- They added $26,957 to an existing Jessica Pegula position at 83¢, signaling increased conviction in the heavy favorite.
- The trade represents an unusually large share of recent market activity, while Pegula is priced around 86% to win.
$26,957 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 11330962, $50,911 (71% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11330962, $41,695 (65% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 11330962, $28,712 (90% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 11330962, $15,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x9a81...0e8f — Outcome 11330962, $9,500 (88% win rate)
- 0x111d...21ba — Outcome 11330962, $5,850 (93% win rate)
- 0xa50f...8e6f — Outcome 11330962, $5,307 (97% win rate)
- 0x8f3c...2f57 — Outcome 11330962, $3,041 (43% win rate)
- 0x889a...2091 — Outcome 11330962, $2,500
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 11330962, $2,000 (39% win rate)
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