How does the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli market resolve?

The market resolves to Tommy Paul if he advances and to Flavio Cobolli if he advances. If the match is canceled, ends without a winner, or remains unresolved for more than seven days after the scheduled date, the market follows its stated resolution rules.

When is Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli scheduled?

The match is originally scheduled for August 21, 2026, at 11:00 AM Eastern Time as part of the Cincinnati Open.

What does smart money activity show for this tennis market?

Smart money signals show activity on both sides, including clusters backing Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli. The tracker records $59,119 in total smart money and five recent alert headlines.

When will the Cincinnati Open match market resolve?

The listed resolution date is August 28, 2026, at 3:00 PM UTC, subject to the market's match and delay resolution rules.

Part of: Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

Q: What is the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli prediction market?

It is a Polymarket tennis market on the Cincinnati Open match between Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli. The outcome is based on which player advances.

This prediction market covers the Cincinnati Open match between Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli, scheduled for August 21, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with smart money activity currently split between both competitors; the market is scheduled to resolve by August 28, 2026.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,049,748.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet cluster backing Cobolli

Seven linked wallets bought Flavio Cobolli for $88,473 amid a 429.5x volume spike, with this trader committing $59,119 before the price rose from 49% to 60%.

Seven wallets, including two linked by funding, bought Cobolli for a combined $88,473.
The $59,119 purchase at 49¢ preceded a move to 60%, suggesting strong coordinated conviction.
This wallet was adding to an existing $1.6M Cobolli position, though its 49% win rate is not independently compelling.

$59,119 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 47%

Sharp serial trader adds to Tommy Paul

A proven serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Tommy Paul position at 61¢.

This bettor wins 83% of trades across 36 resolved bets and is up $55,542.
The trader has beaten average implied odds by 29 percentage points while investing over $306,000.
A fresh $4,200 buy adds to an existing $6,885 Tommy Paul position at 61¢.

$3,500 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 85%

17-wallet cluster backing Tommy Paul

A highly concentrated 17-wallet funded cluster committed $705,000 to Tommy Paul, including a bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial profits, though the position has moved sharply against them.

Seventeen linked wallets bought $705,000 of Tommy Paul, an unusually concentrated position in a $1.02 million market.
One participating bettor has won 90% of 39 resolved bets and is up $324,000 lifetime.
The trade entered at 51¢ while Tommy Paul now trades near 40¢, so the thesis has not yet been validated and copying should require a strict price limit.

$806,809 on Tommy Paul

Six-wallet Cobolli surge

A six-wallet, $136,000 Cobolli buying surge accompanied a 166x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor, although a larger linked Paul position makes the signal meaningfully conflicted.

Six wallets bought $136,193 of Flavio Cobolli as market activity jumped to 166 times its historical average.
One participant is up $4.7 million overall, while another wins 74% of resolved bets, adding credibility to the Cobolli flow.
The signal is conflicted: 13 linked wallets also bought Tommy Paul, so the directional edge is less certain despite Cobolli moving to 70%.

$136,193 on Flavio Cobolli

Sharp bettor scales into Tommy Paul

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is adding $14.6K to an existing Tommy Paul position at 60%.

This bettor wins 82% of 268 resolved trades, with a reported $683,718 lifetime profit.
They are adding $14,625 to an existing Tommy Paul position at 60%, bringing total investment to roughly $39,300.
The entry price is near the market consensus, but the bettor’s 27-point edge over implied odds makes the position notable.

$6,000 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp serial trader adds to Tommy Paul

A proven serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Tommy Paul position at 61¢.

This bettor wins 83% of trades across 36 resolved bets and is up $55,542.
The trader has beaten average implied odds by 29 percentage points while investing over $306,000.
A fresh $4,200 buy adds to an existing $6,885 Tommy Paul position at 61¢.

$2,500 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp serial trader adds to Tommy Paul

A proven serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Tommy Paul position at 61¢.

This bettor wins 83% of trades across 36 resolved bets and is up $55,542.
The trader has beaten average implied odds by 29 percentage points while investing over $306,000.
A fresh $4,200 buy adds to an existing $6,885 Tommy Paul position at 61¢.

$4,200 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor backs Cobolli

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is buying Flavio Cobolli at 40% in a liquid tennis market.

This bettor wins 85% of 455 resolved trades and is up $287,335.
Their average winning entry is just 46%, implying a substantial edge over market prices.
They have traded across 58 events, making this a fresh position from a consistently active bettor.

$1,348 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 85%

85% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $6,000 bet on Tommy Paul.

This bettor wins 85% of 320 resolved trades and is up $1.44 million.
The $6,000 purchase of Tommy Paul at 60¢ is a fresh, concentrated position from a trader active across 294 events.
Their average winning entry is 49%, yet this bet was placed at 60%, indicating strong conviction in Paul.
copy_action?

$4,880 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 86%

99% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and large measured edge is making a fresh $4,575 purchase of Tommy Paul.

This bettor has won 1,963 of 1,983 resolved trades, with $17.4 million in reported profit.
The wallet typically wins at an average entry price of 56%, implying a substantial historical edge over market odds.
It placed a fresh $4,575 buy on Tommy Paul at 61¢ while actively trading across 1,197 markets and 1,115 events.

$4,575 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 66750671, $655,873 (60% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 66750671, $231,693 (65% win rate)
0x336b...1233 — Outcome 66750671, $60,098 (51% win rate)
0x5901...63a2 — Outcome 66750671, $39,043 (90% win rate)
0x0353...c2ff — Outcome 66750671, $35,000 (82% win rate)
0x1e38...fd47 — Outcome 66750671, $25,197 (89% win rate)
0xfdc8...c678 — Outcome 66750671, $24,762 (78% win rate)
0xf519...906b — Outcome 66750671, $21,445 (75% win rate)
0xe954...1ef1 — Outcome 66750671, $21,386 (92% win rate)
0xf377...4159 — Outcome 66750671, $18,000 (86% win rate)

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Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

4dCincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli$1,049,748 tracked12 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Flavio Cobolli”

101¢

64¢

27¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction