Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
This prediction market covers the May 7 MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for 2:20 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the game, with a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled with no make-up or ends in a tie. PolySpotter is tracking $170,463 in smart money across 4 signals, including recent activity on both the Cubs and Reds.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $100,683.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joining Reds cluster
High-scoring alert from a proven profitable MLB bettor with a 78% record, reinforced by $57.8k of same-side Reds buying across 4 wallets.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $330k lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the Reds for $57.8k total, showing strong same-side conviction.
- The bettor paid 36¢ for Cincinnati, while the market is now around 30¢.
$4,680 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 78%
80% winner joins Reds cluster
Sharp 80% winning sports bettor joined a $57.8k one-sided Reds cluster despite the price later drifting against the entry.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $32k lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the Reds in the same window for a combined $57.8k.
- Their 36¢ entry implies a contrarian underdog bet, with the market now cheaper around 30¢.
$1,080 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp cluster backing Cubs
High-conviction Cubs flow from a 5-wallet cluster includes a very profitable sharp wallet and has already moved the market from the mid-60s/70s to 86%.
- A bettor up $524K lifetime put $22.8K on Chicago at 65¢, and the market is now 86¢.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $47.9K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- One wallet in the cluster has won 92% of resolved bets, while another has an 85% record across 79 resolved markets.
$47,907 on Chicago Cubs
Profitable whale buying underdog
A very profitable high-volume bettor is taking a $47k position on the Reds at 36¢ despite the alert's low composite score.
- This bettor has won 56% of 1,223 resolved bets and is up about $4.7M lifetime.
- They put $47k on Cincinnati at 36¢, backing the underdog at roughly a 2.8x payout.
- This wallet is a serial sports trader across hundreds of events, so the bet is worth tracking despite a liquid market.
$47,016 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 15200673, $301,972 (56% win rate)
- 0x4f21...0ec5 — Outcome 26373391, $196,559 (40% win rate)
- 0xb45a...192c — Outcome 26373391, $100,000 (45% win rate)
- 0xc96a...396a — Outcome 26373391, $50,000
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 15200673, $48,823 (71% win rate)
- 0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 15200673, $40,923 (89% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 15200673, $17,196 (72% win rate)
- 0xf152...64aa — Outcome 26373391, $15,000 (67% win rate)
- 0xedf0...1e2a — Outcome 15200673, $13,000 (78% win rate)
- 0xadfa...324e — Outcome 15200673, $12,000 (49% win rate)
