Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,086.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Highly profitable serial sports trader bought Cincinnati at 22¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike and price move, though the current market has already moved beyond the suggested copy range.

  • This bettor has traded over 1,000 resolved markets and is up $3.87M lifetime.
  • They bought Cincinnati at 22¢ before the price moved to 34¢, showing strong early conviction.
  • Market volume spiked 51x versus normal activity before the game.

$1,796 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable sports whale

A very high-volume profitable sports bettor put $52.6k on Cincinnati at 41¢ despite only a low composite score.

  • This bettor has a long record: 1,319 resolved markets, a 59% win rate, and about $11.0M in lifetime profit.
  • They staked $52.6k on Cincinnati at 41¢, a large single bet on a market with tight 41¢/42¢ pricing.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across hundreds of events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable betting process.

$52,622 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 62% record is buying Cleveland at 59¢, though the individual bet is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 47 resolved markets and is up about $249K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 47 events with over $7.6M in detected cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 59¢ is slightly below the current 60% market price for Cleveland.

$3,245 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable MLB whale

A highly profitable high-volume wallet bought $7.3k of Cincinnati at 40¢ in a relatively quiet MLB market, making the bettor profile stronger than the weak low-activity signal alone.

  • This bettor is up $1.47M lifetime across more than 3,000 resolved bets.
  • They put $7.3k on Cincinnati at 40¢, a large trade relative to the market’s activity at the time.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see Cincinnati as meaningfully undervalued versus the current 40% price.

$7,314 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a large resolved sample is buying Cleveland at 60¢ in a relatively quiet MLB market.

  • This bettor wins 62% of resolved trades across 1,787 bets and is up $591k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 119 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports betting process.
  • The $1.1k Cleveland buy is over one-third of this market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction at 60¢.

$1,109 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 10147838, $137,074 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 10147838, $18,285 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xbd14...d62a Outcome 10147838, $12,500 (97% win rate)
  4. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 10147838, $7,532 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 10147838, $2,400
  6. 0x9d94...017d Outcome 10147838, $2,342
  7. 0x519d...37a1 Outcome 10147838, $1,300
  8. 0x87af...c990 Outcome 10147838, $1,220
  9. 0x7760...21f0 Outcome 10147838, $1,199 (75% win rate)
  10. 0xc480...937a Outcome 10147838, $704

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks Cavaliers stay under

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Canadiens win high-scoring game

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Rockies Athletics stay low scoring

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Tempo-Dream stays under 178

Covers 3 related markets

Sparks-Tempo stays under

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

ResolvedCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$66,086 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 17 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
3
24-23
Final
CLE
10
26-22
CIN +133CLE -161O/U 8.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
27,388

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

46d ago

$1,796 on Cincinnati Reds at 22¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

46d ago

$52,622 on Cincinnati Reds at 41¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

46d ago

$3,245 on Cleveland Guardians at 59¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

46d ago

$7,314 on Cincinnati Reds at 40¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians

46d ago

$1,109 on Cleveland Guardians at 60¢

Related Theses