Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians scheduled for May 17 at 1:40 PM ET. The market resolves to the winning team, with current smart money tracking showing $7,314 across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable MLB whale. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed; if canceled with no make-up game or ending in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 17 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,423.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable MLB whale
A highly profitable high-volume wallet bought $7.3k of Cincinnati at 40¢ in a relatively quiet MLB market, making the bettor profile stronger than the weak low-activity signal alone.
- This bettor is up $1.47M lifetime across more than 3,000 resolved bets.
- They put $7.3k on Cincinnati at 40¢, a large trade relative to the market’s activity at the time.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see Cincinnati as meaningfully undervalued versus the current 40% price.
$7,314 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a large resolved sample is buying Cleveland at 60¢ in a relatively quiet MLB market.
- This bettor wins 62% of resolved trades across 1,787 bets and is up $591k lifetime.
- They have traded across 119 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports betting process.
- The $1.1k Cleveland buy is over one-third of this market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction at 60¢.
$1,109 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x1117...3532 — Cleveland Guardians, $19,168 (62% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Cincinnati Reds, $18,285 (67% win rate)
- 0xebe6...9278 — Cincinnati Reds, $1,500
- 0xa697...59d5 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,000
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Cincinnati Reds, $508 (51% win rate)
- 0x102c...664b — Cleveland Guardians, $378
- 0x424e...263b — Cleveland Guardians, $252
- 0x45d5...a7a0 — Cincinnati Reds, $200
- 0x0167...d002 — Cincinnati Reds, $200
- 0x7491...41e9 — Cincinnati Reds, $108
Related Theses
High-scoring outcome volatility
Covers 3 related markets
