Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 1 at 8:10 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team once the game is completed, while a cancellation with no make-up game or a tie resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $17,572 in smart money activity and 1 signal, with recent alerts pointing to underdog buying and pre-game one-sided steam.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $121,696.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor on beaten-down underdog
Surface because a proven 81% winner with positive lifetime P&L led a $17.6k one-sided Reds cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- The strongest wallet in this group wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $145k lifetime.
- Four wallets put $17.6k on Cincinnati, including a $10k buy from the proven bettor.
- The market has moved hard against them: Cincinnati was bought around 37¢ and now trades near 10¢.
$17,572 on Cincinnati Reds
Profitable MLB regular
A very high-volume sports bettor with $640k lifetime profit bought Cincinnati at 29¢ before the line moved to 40¢, alongside a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $640k lifetime across more than 8,600 resolved markets.
- They bought Cincinnati at 29¢, and the market has already moved to about 40¢.
- Volume spiked 23.6x versus normal before the game, suggesting broader money also came in.
$1,486 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 55%
Pre-game one-sided steam
Coordinated pre-game Brewers buying hit alongside a large volume spike and 21-point price move, though wallet track records are mixed.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $7.7k during a 72x pre-game volume spike.
- The Brewers price jumped 21 points during the burst, suggesting this flow materially moved the market.
- One buyer is 8-2 with a small profit, but the larger wallets have weak lifetime records.
$5,749 on Milwaukee Brewers
Perfect-record MLB whale
Sharp wallet with a perfect 32/32 resolved record placed a large $78.8k bet on Cincinnati, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 32 of 32 resolved bets and is up $182k lifetime.
- They put $78.8k on Cincinnati at 42¢, a large concentrated position from a proven wallet.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with 100% wins across 39 events and over $2.1M traded.
$78,799 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 100%
94% serial sports bettor
Sharp sports wallet with a 31/33 resolved record and extensive cross-market history placed a $13.2k Brewers bet at 59¢.
- This bettor has won 31 of 33 resolved positions, usually at near coin-flip prices.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with about $475k previously deployed.
- The $13.2k Brewers buy at 59¢ is fresh, meaningful conviction on a liquid MLB market.
$13,170 on Milwaukee Brewers | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner buying underdog
Elite tracked bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.53M profit is buying Cincinnati Reds at 40¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.53M lifetime.
- They have traded 337 events with a strong cross-market track record, so the wallet itself is the signal.
- Entry at 40¢ on Cincinnati implies a 2.5x payout if the Reds win.
$3,086 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 94%
90% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Cincinnati Reds at 40¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved positions and is up $59k lifetime.
- They have traded 52 sports events with the same 90% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see Cincinnati as underpriced versus the current market.
$1,834 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 11335860, $188,855 (100% win rate)
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Outcome 19711007, $150,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xfe54...41d6 — Outcome 11335860, $143,855 (89% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 11335860, $44,444 (47% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 11335860, $42,484 (59% win rate)
- 0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 11335860, $28,266 (81% win rate)
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 19711007, $15,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x26f8...3452 — Outcome 11335860, $10,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 19711007, $10,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xcc92...649d — Outcome 11335860, $9,350 (73% win rate)
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