Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 18 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,695.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought the Reds at 28¢ despite the market moving sharply against them.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 2,313 resolved trades and is up $341k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 120 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
  • The Reds have fallen 20 points today, but this bettor still paid 28¢ for the underdog.

$1,160 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 65%

92% win-rate sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying the Phillies despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $150K lifetime.
  • They have bet across 61 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 53¢ implies they see the Phillies as underpriced around a coin flip.

$2,650 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 92%

3-wallet underdog push

Moderately interesting one-sided MLB flow: three wallets bought Cincinnati together for $13.9k during a 20x volume spike, with two profitable wallets participating despite the largest wallet having poor lifetime P&L.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $13.9k behind the underdog.
  • Two of the three wallets are profitable long-term, including one up $341k across 2,313 resolved bets.
  • The market saw a 20x volume spike, and the best entry has already moved from 28¢ to 44¢.

$13,885 on Cincinnati Reds

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Philadelphia Phillies, $150,000 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x7a88...41cc Cincinnati Reds, $117,777 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xc807...c12b Philadelphia Phillies, $52,298 (56% win rate)
  4. 0xd696...8a49 Cincinnati Reds, $42,069 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x1117...3532 Cincinnati Reds, $36,677 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 Philadelphia Phillies, $34,536 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x16bb...8492 Philadelphia Phillies, $22,927 (90% win rate)
  8. 0xabb8...bba3 Cincinnati Reds, $20,000 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xef1b...8697 Cincinnati Reds, $19,639 (53% win rate)
  10. 0xd106...c79c Cincinnati Reds, $17,737 (53% win rate)

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

5dCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$17,695 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Cincinnati Reds
40¢
Philadelphia Phillies
61¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 18 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
2
24-23
Live
5
1-1, 0 out
PHI
2
24-23
CIN +104PHI -125O/U 10Polymarket: 40¢
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Weather
89° Mostly sunny
Price History — “Philadelphia Phillies
67¢
58¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$1,160 on Cincinnati Reds at 28¢

28¢40¢12¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$2,650 on Philadelphia Phillies at 53¢

53¢61¢8¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1d ago

$13,885 on Cincinnati Reds at 41¢

41¢40¢1¢

Related Theses