Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

This prediction market covers the May 20 MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $44,849 in smart money across 10 signals, including recent sharp activity on both Phillies flow and bettors fading Philadelphia. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 20 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,507.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market history bought the Phillies underdog despite the market moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades and is up $377,769 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 138 events and 185 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • They bought the Phillies at 25¢ as a contrarian underdog play; the market now prices them lower at 14¢.

$1,640 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $11.7k of Reds at 82¢ after a large price move, making this a follow-worthy sports bet despite a single signal.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 8,561 resolved trades and is up $264k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 126 events with $860k in serial cross-market activity.
  • The $11.7k Reds buy follows a major price move, with Reds up 41 percentage points today.

$11,740 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial sports bettor bought $6,000 of Phillies at 36¢ during a sharp pre-game volume spike, and the price has already moved to 40¢.

  • This bettor has won 58% of 48 resolved bets and is up $21,481 lifetime.
  • They put $6,000 on the Phillies at 36¢, and the market has already moved to 40¢.
  • This came during a 32x pre-game volume spike, suggesting broader money is moving into the market.

$6,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume, profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Reds shares into strong recent momentum.

  • This bettor is up $79k across 1,096 resolved bets, with a 68% win rate.
  • They have traded 206 events and 251 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Bought Cincinnati at 64¢, and the market has already moved to 66¢ after a 25-point one-day jump.

$5,713 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate over 8,561 resolved bets bought Phillies despite the market moving sharply against them.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 8,561 resolved bets and is up $264k lifetime.
  • They bought Phillies at 39¢ while the market has fallen to 34¢, implying a contrarian read.
  • This wallet has traded across 125 events with $858k in cross-market volume.

$2,475 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp bettor fading Phillies

Sharp MLB bettor with an 88% track record and $1.07M profit effectively flipped against Philadelphia amid a large price move and volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime.
  • Selling Philadelphia is effectively a Cincinnati bet at 58¢.
  • The trade came during a 32.7x volume spike and a 21-point move against Philadelphia.

$4,907 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor joins Phillies flow

Surface because a highly profitable 88% winner is buying Phillies alongside same-direction flow and a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against the trades.

  • One bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the Phillies for $5.2K during a 32.7x pre-game volume spike.
  • The market has pulled back to about 50¢ after entries around 65¢, offering a cheaper price than the sharp buyer paid.

$5,205 on Philadelphia Phillies

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $3.0M lifetime profit is buying the Reds as a 27¢ underdog despite only a modest single-trade size.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 6,049 resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 1,255 markets and 576 events.
  • Entry at 27¢ on the Reds implies a contrarian underdog position versus the current 29¢ market price.

$1,900 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 69%

Elite sports bettor buying Phillies

Sharp MLB bettor with an 88% record and over $1M in profit bought Phillies at 65¢, ahead of the current 71¢ market price.

  • This bettor wins 88% of tracked bets and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
  • They bought the Phillies at 65¢, and the market has already moved to 71¢.
  • Their average winning entry is 54¢, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced sports odds.

$2,889 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable new repeat bettor

New wallet has repeatedly made large bets and is already profitable, making this Reds buy worth monitoring despite a short resolved track record.

  • This new wallet has already been flagged 12 times for larger bets, totaling about $40K.
  • It is up $6.4K so far on $100.6K invested, suggesting early positive results.
  • This is a fresh $2.5K buy on Cincinnati at 42¢ in a liquid MLB market.

$2,548 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf00c...f4fe Philadelphia Phillies, $30,189 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xc96a...396a Cincinnati Reds, $28,045
  3. 0xf152...64aa Philadelphia Phillies, $27,433 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x9703...69c2 Cincinnati Reds, $14,401
  5. 0xd48a...6e90 Philadelphia Phillies, $12,405 (68% win rate)
  6. 0x32ed...f960 Cincinnati Reds, $10,727 (69% win rate)
  7. 0xe558...dcd2 Philadelphia Phillies, $10,343 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x67ac...edf1 Cincinnati Reds, $8,927 (68% win rate)
  9. 0x021c...232f Philadelphia Phillies, $8,600 (99% win rate)
  10. 0x558f...1a56 Cincinnati Reds, $7,970 (71% win rate)

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

6dCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$49,507 tracked12 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Cincinnati Reds
100¢
Philadelphia Phillies
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 20 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
9
26-24
Final
PHI
4
25-25
CIN +130PHI -157O/U 9.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Attendance
38,222
Price History — “Cincinnati Reds
102¢
63¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

2h ago

$1,640 on Philadelphia Phillies at 25¢

25¢0¢25¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3h ago

$11,740 on Cincinnati Reds at 82¢

82¢100¢18¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3h ago

$6,000 on Philadelphia Phillies at 36¢

36¢0¢36¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

3h ago

$5,713 on Cincinnati Reds at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4h ago

$2,475 on Philadelphia Phillies at 39¢

39¢0¢39¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4h ago

$4,907 on Cincinnati Reds at 58¢

58¢100¢42¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4h ago

$5,205 on Philadelphia Phillies at 65¢

65¢0¢65¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4h ago

$1,900 on Cincinnati Reds at 27¢

27¢100¢73¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4h ago

$2,889 on Philadelphia Phillies at 65¢

65¢0¢65¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

4h ago

$2,548 on Cincinnati Reds at 42¢

42¢100¢58¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

7h ago

$1,471 on Cincinnati Reds at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

9h ago

$3,019 on Cincinnati Reds at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Related Theses