Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 29 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $400,844.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor scaling into Cincinnati

A profitable high-volume bettor added $8.5K to an existing Cincinnati Reds position during an unusually large event-wide volume spike, though the wallet's modest 54% win rate limits the strength of the signal.

The bettor added $8,533 to Cincinnati at 34–40¢ and already holds $49,213 in Reds exposure.
Market volume was 107 times its historical average, while the Reds price has since risen to about 50¢.
This wallet has made $2.16 million lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets, but its 54% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.

$11,290 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor adding to Reds

A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge added to a Reds position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 13 of 16 resolved positions (81%) and is up $7,331 on $76,139 invested.
The $1,968 Reds purchase adds to an existing $4,888 position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine trade.
The market saw a 377.6x spike versus its historical trading volume, suggesting unusually strong interest before the game.

$1,461 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 31%

Profitable bettor scaling into Cincinnati

The bettor added $8,533 to Cincinnati at 34–40¢ and already holds $49,213 in Reds exposure.
Market volume was 107 times its historical average, while the Reds price has since risen to about 50¢.
This wallet has made $2.16 million lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets, but its 54% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.

$16,861 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable bettor scaling into Cincinnati

The bettor added $8,533 to Cincinnati at 34–40¢ and already holds $49,213 in Reds exposure.
Market volume was 107 times its historical average, while the Reds price has since risen to about 50¢.
This wallet has made $2.16 million lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets, but its 54% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.

$8,533 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor adding to Reds

A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge added to a Reds position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 13 of 16 resolved positions (81%) and is up $7,331 on $76,139 invested.
The $1,968 Reds purchase adds to an existing $4,888 position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine trade.
The market saw a 377.6x spike versus its historical trading volume, suggesting unusually strong interest before the game.

$1,968 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 31%

17-wallet Guardians buying cluster

A large linked-wallet Guardians position, including highly profitable bettors, produced a major price move in a sports market, though opposing Reds flow reduces confidence.

Seventeen linked wallets bought $305,857 of Cleveland at 52–65¢, driving the price up 28 percentage points.
The cluster includes bettors with 83% and 87% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions and roughly 31–32 percentage points of edge over entry odds.
A separate 15-wallet Reds cluster bought $105,062, so the opposing flow is meaningful, while the current market price has already reached 100%.

$305,857 on Cleveland Guardians

Five sharp wallets scaling into Cincinnati

Five wallets added $50.3K to Cincinnati at 43¢, including three highly profitable bettors with 90%-96% win rates and substantial historical edge.

Five wallets collectively added $50,320 to Cincinnati at 43¢ while the market still prices the Reds at only 44%.
Three participants have exceptional records: 90%, 91%, and 96% win rates across 624 to 1,814 resolved bets.
This is an addition to existing Cincinnati positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position opening; trading volume spiked over 480x its historical average.

$50,320 on Cincinnati Reds

97% sharp bettor adds to Reds

A highly profitable, serial sports bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $4,553 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position at 43¢.

This bettor has won 97% of 118 resolved trades and is up $856,640.
They are adding $4,553 to an existing Reds position, bringing total investment on the outcome above $15,000.
The 43¢ entry implies the bettor sees the Reds as materially undervalued despite current market odds near 42%.

$4,553 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 91%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$400,844 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

Cleveland Guardians

100¢

Cincinnati Reds

0¢

Cleveland Guardians

100¢

Cincinnati Reds

0¢

CLE

56-54

Final

CIN

50-57

CLE -139CIN +115O/U 8.5Polymarket: 100¢

Venue

Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati

Attendance

17,084

Notable Trades