Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for August 11 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $318,075.

Categories: MLB, baseball, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor in seven-wallet Guardians push

A highly profitable sharp bettor and six other wallets backed Cleveland, creating a strong coordinated signal despite the market now showing Cleveland at 0%.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 592 resolved positions and is up $966,046 lifetime.
  • Seven wallets collectively bought Cleveland for $110,714, signaling unusually strong one-sided conviction.
  • The $2,000 entry at 42¢ offered substantial upside, though the market currently displays Cleveland at 0%, so live copyability may be compromised.

$2,000 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 85%

Seven-wallet Guardians conviction cluster

Seven wallets committed roughly $110,000 to Cleveland, reinforced by coordinated positioning across four related markets, though the lead wallet's 54% win rate offers limited proof of edge.

  • Seven wallets bought Cleveland for a combined $110,714, a strong one-sided signal in a major sports market.
  • The lead bettor also positioned across four related markets, with $66,638 supporting the same event thesis.
  • The lead wallet has generated $2.95 million in lifetime profit, but its 54% win rate makes this more compelling as coordinated flow than as a proven sharp-bettor alert.

$10,561 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 55%

94% win-rate sharp backs Detroit

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $3.1K bet on Detroit despite the position currently moving against them.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 7,620 resolved positions and earned $1.48 million in profit.
  • The $3,114 Detroit bet came at 88¢, while a 13.2x volume spike and sharp price movement suggest an actively traded game market.
  • The trader’s average winning entry is 60%, making this 88¢ wager a high-confidence position rather than routine favorite buying.

$3,114 on Detroit Tigers | Wallet win rate: 95%

Coordinated Tigers whale flow

A large coordinated Detroit position was supported by multiple highly profitable bettors and a sharp price move from 56% to full resolution.

  • Sixteen wallets committed $267,771 to Detroit, including a bettor with a 94% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit.
  • Detroit was bought around 55–56% before its price surged 34 percentage points to 100%.
  • The market has resolved at 100%, so this is primarily a trade to study rather than enter now.

$267,771 on Detroit Tigers

94% win-rate sharp backs Detroit

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $1,030 bet on Detroit at 54%.

  • This bettor has won 397 of 424 resolved positions, with a $3.15 million lifetime profit.
  • Their 94% win rate far exceeds the 51% average winning price across a large sample.
  • The fresh $1,030 position backs Detroit at 54%, near the current market price and with a tight 1-cent spread.

$33,600 on Detroit Tigers | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% win-rate sharp backs Detroit

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $1,030 bet on Detroit at 54%.

  • This bettor has won 397 of 424 resolved positions, with a $3.15 million lifetime profit.
  • Their 94% win rate far exceeds the 51% average winning price across a large sample.
  • The fresh $1,030 position backs Detroit at 54%, near the current market price and with a tight 1-cent spread.

$1,030 on Detroit Tigers | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2728...4f96 — Cleveland Guardians, $5,748 (59% win rate)
  2. 0xd3fa...a26c — Cleveland Guardians, $4,762 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x5482...b6ee — Cleveland Guardians, $4,000
  4. 0xfaa7...977a — Cleveland Guardians, $2,179 (56% win rate)
  5. 0xd47d...322b — Cleveland Guardians, $2,100 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x519d...37a1 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,750
  7. 0x8902...506e — Cleveland Guardians, $1,555
  8. 0xc7e5...2d3a — Cleveland Guardians, $1,417 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x64e7...50d1 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,220 (66% win rate)
  10. 0xf7c4...5919 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,017

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

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Marlins win, runs stay low

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

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Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Panthers keep it close

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NATO and Russia avoid clash

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Rays win, total not eight

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$318,075 tracked6 signalsMLBbaseballSportsGames
Cleveland Guardians
0¢
Detroit Tigers
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for August 11 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CLE
4
58-62
Final
DET
6
59-60
CLE +131DET -140O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Comerica Park, Detroit
Attendance
30,709

Notable Trades

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

2026-08-12 11:00 UTC

$2,000 on Cleveland Guardians at 42¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

2026-08-12 11:00 UTC

$10,561 on Cleveland Guardians at 47¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

2026-08-12 00:15 UTC

$3,114 on Detroit Tigers at 88¢

88¢→100¢↑12¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

2026-08-12 11:00 UTC

$267,771 on Detroit Tigers at 56¢

56¢→100¢↑44¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

2026-08-11 21:49 UTC

$33,600 on Detroit Tigers at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

2026-08-11 13:38 UTC

$1,030 on Detroit Tigers at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

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Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
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Marlins win, runs stay low
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Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
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