Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 11 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,881.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets back underdog

Three wallets bought $18.3k of Cleveland, including two highly profitable bettors with 88–94% win rates and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • Two proven bettors are backing Cleveland, with 88–94% win rates and over $5.2M combined profit.
  • Three wallets bought $18.3k on the same side at 40¢ during a 52x pre-game volume spike.
  • One sharp wallet already had $47k on Cleveland and added more, showing continued conviction.

$18,318 on Cleveland Guardians

88% winner backing underdog

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% lifetime win rate and strong edge bought Cleveland at 40¢ despite Miami being favored.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.5M lifetime.
  • They bought Cleveland at 40¢, taking the underdog side against the current 60% Miami price.
  • This wallet has traded across 1,152 events with $11.4M deployed, suggesting a serious repeat sports bettor.

$4,318 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 88%

Three sharp wallets on Marlins

Three highly profitable wallets, including a 19-for-19 bettor, bought $40k of Miami Marlins into a major pre-game volume spike.

  • Three profitable bettors put $40k on Miami at 59–60¢ before the game.
  • The lead wallet is 19-for-19 on resolved bets and up $648k lifetime.
  • Another buyer is adding to an existing Marlins position, showing continued conviction.

$38,250 on Miami Marlins

Elite 83% sports bettor

Proven profitable wallet with an 83% win rate and strong edge is buying Miami in a liquid MLB market.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $816K lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 52¢, suggesting a strong track record of beating market prices.
  • They bought Miami at 59¢ in a liquid MLB market, aligning with their broader cross-market sports activity.

$3,000 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 85%

91% winner adding MLB position

Sharp MLB bettor with a 91% resolved win rate is adding to a Miami Marlins position at 57¢, supported by a strong cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $99K lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 28 events with the same 91% win rate.
  • They are adding to an existing Miami position, now with about $5.3K invested at 57¢.

$2,996 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Miami Marlins, $33,019 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xd3fa...a26c — Miami Marlins, $5,085 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x5482...b6ee — Miami Marlins, $5,000
  4. 0xeef6...cd4c — Miami Marlins, $2,226 (98% win rate)
  5. 0x39fc...e2f2 — Miami Marlins, $2,000 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x519d...37a1 — Miami Marlins, $1,769
  7. 0x42ab...0d2d — Miami Marlins, $1,370
  8. 0x8992...ed1f — Miami Marlins, $968 (85% win rate)
  9. 0xfd52...aa25 — Miami Marlins, $833 (96% win rate)
  10. 0x2de9...5289 — Miami Marlins, $634

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins$66,881 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Cleveland Guardians
100¢
Miami Marlins
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 11 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CLE
4
50-46
Final
MIA
1
52-44
CLE +134MIA -162O/U 7.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
loanDepot park, Miami
Attendance
16,070

Notable Trades

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

2026-07-11 20:12 UTC

$18,318 on Cleveland Guardians at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

2026-07-11 20:04 UTC

$4,318 on Cleveland Guardians at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

2026-07-11 18:42 UTC

$38,250 on Miami Marlins at 60¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

2026-07-11 18:26 UTC

$3,000 on Miami Marlins at 59¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

2026-07-11 02:19 UTC

$2,996 on Miami Marlins at 57¢

Related Theses