Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $90,974.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
94% win-rate sports bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and strong edge sold Cleveland at 26¢, which translates to buying St. Louis around 74¢ in a liquid MLB market now trading 79¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $29k across 100 resolved positions.
- They sold Cleveland at 26¢, which is equivalent to buying St. Louis at about 74¢.
- The market has already moved in their favor, with Cleveland dropping from 26¢ to 21¢ after the trade.
$2,055 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 94%
89% win-rate sports sharp
A very high-performing sports trader with an 89% win rate and $2.2M profit bought St. Louis at 90¢ in a market seeing an unusual pregame volume spike and upward price move.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.2M across 1,259 settled positions.
- They trade heavily across sports and events — 824 markets over 609 events — which makes this look like a proven repeatable edge, not a one-off bet.
- They bought St. Louis at 90¢ as volume ran 62x above normal and the price jumped 17 points, showing strong late confidence behind the favorite.
$1,160 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp bettor on volume spike
A highly proven sports-style trader with a 72% win rate and $2.0M profit made an $8.5k buy in a market seeing a major pre-game volume spike and a meaningful move toward St. Louis.
- This bettor wins 72% of 3,280 resolved trades and is up $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought $8.5k of St. Louis at 87¢ as this market saw a 62x jump in activity.
- The price moved up nearly 17 points toward St. Louis, backing the same direction as the trade.
$8,477 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp bettor bought breakout
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate bought St. Louis at 72¢ ahead of a major volume and price breakout, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor to 90¢.
- This bettor has won 2,349 of 3,280 resolved trades and is up $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought St. Louis at 72¢, and the price has already jumped to 90¢ after a 77x volume spike.
- This wallet trades across 854 markets and 331 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
$5,180 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp bettor buys Cardinals
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 74% win rate sold Cleveland at 48¢, which translates to buying St. Louis at 52¢, making this a followable sharp position despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $179k across 278 settled markets.
- The trade was effectively a buy on St. Louis at 52¢ after selling Cleveland at 48¢.
- This came from a serial cross-market trader active across 510 events and $4.5M of volume.
$1,879 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 51%
Sharp cluster buys Cardinals
Three wallets put $17.2k on the Cardinals during a 61x volume spike, including a serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets piled $17.2k into the Cardinals in a coordinated burst while market volume ran 61x above normal.
- One wallet wins 74% of resolved bets across 546 markets and sold Guardians, reinforcing the same Cardinals view.
- They entered around 51-52¢ while the market now sits near 44¢, offering a better follow price than the original trade.
$17,248 on St. Louis Cardinals
97% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 97% win rate bought Cleveland at 49¢ before the market moved to 56% during a major pregame volume surge.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $256k across 100 settled positions.
- They bought Cleveland at 49¢ and the market is already up to 56%, showing immediate confirmation.
- This wallet has traded 47 markets across 46 events with the same strong results, not just a one-off hit.
$1,452 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 98%
Serial sports bettor buy
A high-volume serial sports trader with 2,385 resolved bets bought Cardinals at 51¢ during a major pregame volume surge, making this a reasonable sharp-bettor signal despite only moderate edge.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,498 wins in 2,385 resolved bets and about $92k profit
- They bought the Cardinals at 51¢ during a 53x jump in market activity, suggesting real pregame positioning
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate price-taking bet rather than random noise
$5,318 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 68%
Linked sharp cluster on Cardinals
Four wallets, three of them linked, piled $13.4k into the Cardinals at 50-51¢, led by a wallet with a 95% win rate and massive realized profits, making this coordinated flow worth following despite the liquid market.
- A wallet that wins 95% of its bets and has realized profits near $22.9M led this buy at 50-51¢.
- Four wallets bought the same side within seconds, and three share a funder, which points to coordinated conviction.
- The market was near a coin flip when they entered, so buying at 50¢ suggests they see St. Louis as clearly mispriced.
$13,361 on St. Louis Cardinals
Linked whale cluster on Cleveland
A linked-wallet cluster is piling $21.7k into Cleveland at 50¢, led by a very active bettor with $1.68M realized profit and activity across 246 markets.
- Three linked wallets all bought Cleveland at 50¢ for $21.7k total, with one wallet supplying nearly the entire size.
- The lead wallet has traded 437 resolved markets and is up $1.68M, suggesting this is more than random game-day flow.
- This hit during a huge volume burst on the market, with activity running 2,239x the historical average.
$21,670 on Cleveland Guardians
Top Holders
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 13412418, $31,223 (60% win rate)
- 0x8a67...e403 — Outcome 13412418, $30,390 (88% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Outcome 13412418, $8,944 (67% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 13412418, $6,377 (53% win rate)
- 0xc33a...3da3 — Outcome 13412418, $5,867 (98% win rate)
- 0x0507...1eb1 — Outcome 13412418, $4,850
- 0xa6e3...6dfe — Outcome 13412418, $4,170 (91% win rate)
- 0x3625...1187 — Outcome 13412418, $3,940 (98% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 13412418, $2,699
- 0xe1d2...e3c0 — Outcome 13412418, $2,112
Related Theses
Thunder win by seven
Covers 9 related markets
