Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for July 26 at 12:15 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game is completed; a canceled game without a make-up or a tie results in a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter tracks $43,994 in smart money across two signals, including activity on both the Guardians and Rays.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,716.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Cleveland
A proven 86% winner is adding to a Cleveland position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal.
- This bettor has won 86% of 70 resolved trades and earned $219,786 in profit.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Cleveland position at 47¢, suggesting increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- Market volume is running 370.9x its historical average while Cleveland remains near even money.
$2,736 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor scaling into Tampa Bay
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $41,258 to an existing Rays position.
- This bettor wins 81% of 332 resolved trades and is up $3.58 million.
- They are adding $41,258 to Tampa Bay at 54¢, alongside an existing $76,403 position.
- The 54¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Tampa Bay currently trading as a modest favorite.
$41,258 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 81%
94% win-rate MLB sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and 42% edge made a concentrated $4,598 purchase of Cleveland at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of 323 resolved positions and is up $2.07 million.
- The $4,598 Cleveland purchase is a meaningful position from a trader active across 495 markets and 434 events.
- Buying at 47¢ implies the bettor sees substantial value despite Cleveland trading near even odds.
$16,383 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%
Three-wallet Guardians buying surge
Three wallets deployed $15.6K on Cleveland at 45¢ amid a 232x volume spike, including highly profitable bettors with strong historical records.
- Three wallets committed $15,588 to Cleveland at 45¢, including one bettor up $27.2M lifetime.
- The flow arrived during a 232x historical volume spike, indicating unusually concentrated conviction before the game.
- Two participants have exceptional records: 100% across 14 resolved bets and 70% across 178 bets.
$26,742 on Cleveland Guardians
94% win-rate MLB sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and 42% edge made a concentrated $4,598 purchase of Cleveland at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of 323 resolved positions and is up $2.07 million.
- The $4,598 Cleveland purchase is a meaningful position from a trader active across 495 markets and 434 events.
- Buying at 47¢ implies the bettor sees substantial value despite Cleveland trading near even odds.
$4,598 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x684b...8409 — Outcome 22270442, $52,012 (89% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 22270442, $51,809 (93% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 22270442, $43,530 (60% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 22270442, $32,496 (63% win rate)
- 0x5ff6...3f44 — Outcome 22270442, $17,188
- 0xe55a...ecf7 — Outcome 22270442, $15,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 22270442, $7,846 (95% win rate)
- 0x84ff...6754 — Outcome 22270442, $7,500 (61% win rate)
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 98487292, $5,504 (71% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 22270442, $4,624 (59% win rate)
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