Part of: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $211,210.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
30-wallet Nongshim buying surge
A large coordinated surge into Nongshim, including several highly profitable bettors, drove the outcome from roughly 50% to 89%, though much of the flow adds to existing positions and the opposing cluster makes this less clean than a unanimous signal.
- 30 wallets committed $130,600 to Nongshim Red Force, while the market moved sharply to an 89% implied probability.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 89% wins across 216 bets and 93% across 386 bets.
- Trading volume spiked 51x, but some wallets were adding to existing Nongshim positions and 23 wallets also bought BNK FEARX, weakening the directional signal.
$138,626 on Nongshim Red Force
16-wallet BNK conviction cluster
A large coordinated BNK FEARX position from multiple proven bettors is notable, although the sharp price collapse and opposing flow make it a high-risk, potentially stale signal.
- Sixteen wallets committed about $59,000 to BNK FEARX, with several bettors showing 80–100% win rates over meaningful samples.
- One participant is 89% successful across 730 resolved bets, while another is 100% across 24 resolved positions with roughly $228,000 in profit.
- BNK FEARX has since fallen from roughly 55–60¢ to 26¢, and seven wallets also bought Nongshim, so the signal carries substantial execution and timing risk.
$59,276 on BNK FEARX
93% winner leads seven-wallet surge
A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate bought Nongshim at 51%, alongside six other wallets in a major one-sided positioning surge.
- This bettor has won 93% of 386 resolved positions and earned $943,830 in profit.
- Seven wallets bought Nongshim Red Force for $28,856 combined, while the lead bettor entered at just 51%.
- The market has since moved to 74%, reinforcing the direction of this coordinated pre-event flow.
$5,228 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp bettor leads seven-wallet buy
A highly profitable serial bettor bought Nongshim at 46¢ alongside six other wallets, with the outcome now priced at 74¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of 370 resolved positions and has earned $1.72 million.
- Seven wallets bought Nongshim Red Force for $28,856 amid a major volume spike.
- The trade entered at 46¢ and the outcome is now priced around 74%, strongly validating the direction.
$4,580 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor scaling into Nongshim
A proven, highly profitable bettor added to an existing Nongshim position amid a seven-wallet one-sided buying cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of 121 resolved trades and is up $151,472, with a 24-point edge over average implied odds.
- Seven wallets bought Nongshim for $28,856 combined, while trading volume surged to 6,195 times its usual level.
- The bettor added $3,500 at 48¢ to an existing position as Nongshim later moved to 74%, signaling strong conviction.
$3,500 on Nongshim Red Force | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xce29...3b0d — Outcome 66122762, $111,025 (100% win rate)
- 0x0224...292a — Outcome 66122762, $40,481 (55% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 66122762, $25,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 66122762, $23,780 (66% win rate)
- 0x203b...46e1 — Outcome 66122762, $16,283 (82% win rate)
- 0xe59f...0d08 — Outcome 66122762, $14,972 (68% win rate)
- 0xf23c...9f81 — Outcome 66122762, $8,057 (65% win rate)
- 0x7a3f...a807 — Outcome 66122762, $7,500
- 0xac23...a875 — Outcome 66122762, $7,166 (86% win rate)
- 0x000e...f7e9 — Outcome 66122762, $6,015 (46% win rate)
Related Theses
Karmine Corp sweeps Team Liquid
Covers 5 related markets
Nigma wins series after split
Covers 3 related markets
EDward Gaming covers the spread
Covers 1 related market
Jordan Argentina goes over 2.5
Covers 1 related market
EDward Gaming wins both games
Covers 2 related markets
Solary will win Game 2
Covers 1 related market
Algeria Austria stays low scoring
Covers 1 related market
DN SOOPers win Game 3
Covers 1 related market
Deep Cross wins Games 2-3
Covers 2 related markets
Solary will beat TLN Pirates
Covers 2 related markets
