Part of: Commanders vs. 49ers
Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 43.5
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Commanders and 49ers combine to score 44 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 44, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,416.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Whale adding Under in thin market
A large net addition to Under in a thin market and a sharp volume spike merits attention, though the wallet's history does not establish a clear win-rate edge and it also sold some Under shares.
- Bought about $9.8K of Under against just $3.2K in listed liquidity, despite already holding a sizeable position.
- The market saw a reported 189× volume spike; the wallet also sold some Under, so the net direction is not unambiguous.
- The wallet is up $624K lifetime, but its 50% win rate at a 58¢ average winning price is not clear evidence of an edge.
$13,666 on Under | Wallet win rate: 50%
Serial event trader with $6.7M lifetime profit
A highly active, historically profitable trader has exposure across 10 markets in this event, though this Over entry has since moved sharply against them.
- This trader has made $6.7M across more than 61,000 resolved bets, though their 55% win rate is not clearly above their average winning price.
- They have $32,849 positioned across 10 markets tied to this event, including prior activity across nine of them.
- Their Over entry was 57¢, but the market has fallen to 44¢ since; the move is against this position.
$1,751 on Over | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Over, $5,214 (56% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Over, $1,892 (56% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Over, $663 (64% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — Over, $570 (92% win rate)
- 0x3f58...d93a — Over, $380
- 0xbfec...4c6c — Over, $90 (76% win rate)
- 0x5559...7c30 — Over, $90
- 0xc185...7020 — Over, $25
- 0x7860...ab46 — Over, $5 (95% win rate)
- 0xaba7...85ed — Over, $5
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