Part of: Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $287,212.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

96% winner leads 9z whale buying

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a very large 9z bet near 50¢ as concentrated buying and a sharp price rise reinforced the position.

  • A bettor with a 96% win rate across 188 resolved bets and $15.2M in reported profit bought about $136,000 of 9z near 50–51¢.
  • Seven wallets bought 9z, totaling about $158,000, while the market rose sharply.
  • The 9z entry was around 51¢; the current price is 88¢, well above the suggested entry ceiling.

$157,769 on 9z

Three-wallet 9z buying surge

A three-wallet $162K push and a 63.5x volume spike support this trader’s sizeable add to 9z, though the trader’s win rate alone is not a strong edge signal.

  • Three wallets are buying 9z, with $162K in combined bets.
  • This trader added about $23K at 51–52¢ while already holding a $45K position; 9z has since risen to 70%.
  • Market activity surged to 63.5 times its historical average, supporting the coordinated buying signal.

$23,296 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 55%

11-wallet Aurora buying cluster

Eleven wallets bought $101,750 of Aurora, but the position is sharply opposed by $162,408 in 9z buying and Aurora has fallen to 30%.

  • Eleven wallets bought about $102,000 of Aurora, with several adding to existing positions.
  • The signal is contested: three wallets bought about $162,000 of 9z, and Aurora has fallen from roughly 50¢ to 30¢.
  • Some participating wallets have strong records, including one with 91% wins across 317 resolved positions.

$101,750 on Aurora Gaming

96% winner adding to Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and 126 resolved positions is adding to an existing Aurora Gaming position.

  • This bettor has won 121 of 126 resolved positions and is up $46,872.
  • They added $1,399 to Aurora at 74¢, reinforcing an existing position despite the market’s 74% odds.
  • The trader has positioned across 54 events, providing a broad track record beyond this match.

$1,399 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven 77% winner backs Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with more than 2,200 resolved positions is backing Aurora with a $2,998 trade, though the entry is close to current market odds.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 2,226 resolved bets and earned over $3.1M.
  • They put nearly $3,000 on Aurora at 75¢, close to the current 74¢ odds.
  • The wallet has traded across 905 events, showing a substantial history beyond this single match.

$2,999 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x84ec...72c1 — Aurora Gaming, $25,000 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x381b...4d74 — Aurora Gaming, $20,400 (51% win rate)
  3. 0xa803...2949 — Aurora Gaming, $17,305 (86% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 — Aurora Gaming, $12,321 (64% win rate)
  5. 0xc74e...e725 — Aurora Gaming, $7,899 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x9609...a48d — Aurora Gaming, $7,777 (86% win rate)
  7. 0x9b97...5e12 — Aurora Gaming, $7,600 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x2772...ac19 — Aurora Gaming, $6,187 (81% win rate)
  9. 0x85fb...89ba — Aurora Gaming, $6,000 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x5045...914a — Aurora Gaming, $5,692 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

Norway England turns into shootout

Covers 4 related markets

T1 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

Colombia wins big, Congo scores

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A$287,212 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
9z
100¢
Aurora Gaming
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-14 11:06 UTC

$157,769 on 9z at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-14 10:54 UTC

$23,296 on 9z at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-14 10:54 UTC

$101,750 on Aurora Gaming at 50¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-14 09:39 UTC

$1,399 on Aurora Gaming at 74¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-14 08:47 UTC

$2,999 on Aurora Gaming at 75¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
Norway England turns into shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Both Teams…
T1 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Colombia wins big, Congo scores
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombi…Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Cong…