Part of: Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between 9z and magic in Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 at the PGL Astana Playoffs. It resolves to the team that wins Map 1, provided the map is completed, with resolution scheduled for May 15, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,680 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from high win-rate esports sharps.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 9z and magic in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against 9z. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,443.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

A massively experienced, profitable cross-market sports/esports trader bought magic at 75%, despite the alert's modest composite score.

  • This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across nearly $187M of resolved bets.
  • They have traded 1,777 markets across 1,505 events, showing deep experience in this format.
  • Entry at 75¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite with room to follow up to 85¢.

$1,680 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Serial esports bettor

Serial esports cross-market bettor with a 73% hit rate and heavy historical volume bought magic at 79%, driving a major breakout despite negative lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has traded 157 events and wins 73% of resolved bets, showing a strong sports-specific pattern.
  • The $3,000 buy pushed magic sharply above its prior range, a 40-point breakout signal.
  • Entry at 79¢ is now 74¢, so the market is available below the bettor’s entry.

$3,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 73%

88% winner buying dip

Sharp CS bettor with an 88% historical win rate bought 9z at 48¢ despite the market later dropping to 32¢, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $46.6K lifetime.
  • They bought 9z at 48¢, showing conviction before the price fell to 32¢.
  • Their wins came at average 44¢ entries, suggesting a strong record on underpriced outcomes.

$2,280 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 88%

98% win-rate esports sharp

Elite cross-market esports bettor with a 98% win record and $3.85M profit is buying magic at 35¢ despite the market pricing them as the underdog.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions and is up $3.85M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 358 events with nearly $4.0M in flagged activity.
  • Entry at 35¢ on the underdog implies they see magic as a mispriced Map 1 opportunity.

$3,215 on magic | Wallet win rate: 98%

95% win-rate esports sharp

Elite profitable wallet with a 95% historical win rate and extensive cross-market track record bought magic at 39¢ against current 38% odds.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $257K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 555 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies a contrarian view against 9z’s 62% market favorite price.

$1,089 on magic | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% win-rate esports sharp

Elite esports bettor with a 95% win rate and $257k lifetime profit is buying magic at 39¢ against current 38% odds.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $257k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 554 events with a 95% hit rate.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies a ~2.6x payout if magic wins Map 1.

$2,179 on magic | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x634a...6de3 9z, $12,324 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x880b...c98b 9z, $11,996 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x3833...33d1 magic, $9,188 (98% win rate)
  4. 0xef21...3dc9 magic, $8,379 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x8c0b...7aa5 magic, $6,482 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x0562...18a4 9z, $5,370 (35% win rate)
  7. 0xbf5e...4189 9z, $4,813 (57% win rate)
  8. 0x4713...4d21 9z, $4,439 (44% win rate)
  9. 0x7a78...add7 magic, $3,798 (49% win rate)
  10. 0x8718...5040 magic, $3,776 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

5hCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$13,443 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
9z
20¢
magic
81¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 9z and magic in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against 9z. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “magic
101¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

3m ago

$1,680 on magic at 75¢

75¢81¢6¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

3m ago

$3,000 on magic at 79¢

79¢81¢2¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

20m ago

$2,280 on 9z at 48¢

48¢20¢28¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

49m ago

$3,215 on magic at 35¢

35¢81¢46¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,089 on magic at 39¢

39¢81¢42¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

2h ago

$2,179 on magic at 39¢

39¢81¢42¢

Related Theses