Part of: Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,443.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

A massively experienced, profitable cross-market sports/esports trader bought magic at 75%, despite the alert's modest composite score.

  • This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across nearly $187M of resolved bets.
  • They have traded 1,777 markets across 1,505 events, showing deep experience in this format.
  • Entry at 75¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite with room to follow up to 85¢.

$1,680 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Serial esports bettor

Serial esports cross-market bettor with a 73% hit rate and heavy historical volume bought magic at 79%, driving a major breakout despite negative lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has traded 157 events and wins 73% of resolved bets, showing a strong sports-specific pattern.
  • The $3,000 buy pushed magic sharply above its prior range, a 40-point breakout signal.
  • Entry at 79¢ is now 74¢, so the market is available below the bettor’s entry.

$3,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 73%

88% winner buying dip

Sharp CS bettor with an 88% historical win rate bought 9z at 48¢ despite the market later dropping to 32¢, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $46.6K lifetime.
  • They bought 9z at 48¢, showing conviction before the price fell to 32¢.
  • Their wins came at average 44¢ entries, suggesting a strong record on underpriced outcomes.

$2,280 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 65%

98% win-rate esports sharp

Elite cross-market esports bettor with a 98% win record and $3.85M profit is buying magic at 35¢ despite the market pricing them as the underdog.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions and is up $3.85M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 358 events with nearly $4.0M in flagged activity.
  • Entry at 35¢ on the underdog implies they see magic as a mispriced Map 1 opportunity.

$3,215 on magic | Wallet win rate: 75%

95% win-rate esports sharp

Elite profitable wallet with a 95% historical win rate and extensive cross-market track record bought magic at 39¢ against current 38% odds.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $257K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 555 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies a contrarian view against 9z’s 62% market favorite price.

$1,089 on magic | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% win-rate esports sharp

Elite esports bettor with a 95% win rate and $257k lifetime profit is buying magic at 39¢ against current 38% odds.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $257k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 554 events with a 95% hit rate.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies a ~2.6x payout if magic wins Map 1.

$2,179 on magic | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x634a...6de3 Outcome 10803397, $12,324 (76% win rate)
  2. 0x880b...c98b Outcome 10803397, $11,996 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x19a3...6748 Outcome 10803397, $11,000
  4. 0x4e29...8931 Outcome 10803397, $2,646
  5. 0xc2e5...b3a5 Outcome 10803397, $1,604 (68% win rate)
  6. 0x611a...e171 Outcome 10803397, $1,600 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x03f4...7e44 Outcome 10803397, $1,600 (61% win rate)
  8. 0x4a5e...8fd0 Outcome 10803397, $1,348 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x5453...a834 Outcome 10803397, $1,280
  10. 0x89bd...cc95 Outcome 10803397, $1,250

Related Theses

G2 wins in five

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Dplus KIA beats KT

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magic sweeps 9z in series

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Dplus KIA wins in three

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Karmine wins in three

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Karmine rebounds to win series

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LGD wins Game 1, Liquid advances

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$13,443 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 9z and magic in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against 9z. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

47d ago

$1,680 on magic at 75¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

47d ago

$3,000 on magic at 79¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

47d ago

$2,280 on 9z at 48¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

47d ago

$3,215 on magic at 35¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

47d ago

$1,089 on magic at 39¢

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

47d ago

$2,179 on magic at 39¢

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