Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Astralis and fnatic in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,398.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Astralis push with proven winners
Three wallets put roughly $72,500 behind Astralis, including two traders with strong records and a 51x volume spike.
- Three wallets aligned on Astralis for about $72,500, including a $27,245 fnatic sale equivalent to buying Astralis.
- Two traders have 74% and 76% win rates across substantial histories, with multimillion-dollar profits.
- Trading volume spiked 51x its historical average, and the combined entry was around 43¢ versus current odds near 48¢.
$12,226 on Astralis
96% winner adding to Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% record added $4,807 to an existing Astralis position during an exceptional volume spike, despite the price moving against the position.
- This bettor has won 45 of 47 resolved positions and is up $16,596.
- They added $4,807 to an existing Astralis position as market volume spiked 157× above its historical average.
- The trade was placed at 48¢; Astralis is now 40¢, so the market has moved against their entry.
$4,807 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 96%
Five-wallet fnatic buying cluster
Five wallets bought fnatic for about $75.9K amid an 88.6x volume spike, including several profitable bettors with strong track records.
- Five wallets bought fnatic for about $75.9K, including two bettors with 76% win rates and substantial profits.
- The bets came during an 88.6x historical volume spike, and fnatic rose from their 45–48¢ entries to about 58¢.
- Several wallets are adding to already-large fnatic positions, reinforcing the shared direction.
$43,749 on fnatic
Proven 82% winner backs Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 1,218 resolved positions and an 82% win rate is backing Astralis at 56¢.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,218 resolved trades and is up $4.34M.
- They put $5,600 on Astralis at 56¢, matching the current market price.
- The wallet has traded across 966 events, showing an extensive record beyond this match.
$5,600 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable, active cross-market bettor added a meaningful amount to an existing Astralis position, though the market signals are modest.
- This bettor is up $18,000 across 110 resolved markets and has traded across 57 events.
- They added $1,375 to an existing Astralis position in a market with under $5,000 in 24-hour volume.
$1,375 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 63%
139-win serial cross-market trader
A highly profitable serial trader with 139 wins from 139 resolved positions bought fnatic at 43¢, showing strong conviction on this matchup.
- This bettor has won all 139 resolved positions and is up $321,578.
- They bought fnatic at 43¢, while the market currently prices them at 44¢.
- The bettor has positioned across 32 events, with nearly $79,000 in total trades.
$1,641 on fnatic | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x6ac5...4b6e — Astralis, $243,199 (46% win rate)
- 0x494e...6f79 — Astralis, $99,470
- 0x997c...51f3 — Astralis, $46,263 (72% win rate)
- 0xfe97...361e — Astralis, $38,970 (83% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Astralis, $36,400 (46% win rate)
- 0x82c5...92d0 — Astralis, $11,557 (96% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Astralis, $10,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x8f69...7df1 — Astralis, $10,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x04fb...5968 — Astralis, $7,131 (86% win rate)
- 0x03f4...7e44 — Astralis, $6,000 (57% win rate)
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