Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 3 in the Counter-Strike grand final between Astralis and FUT Esports at the PGL Bucharest Playoffs. The market resolves to the team that wins Map 3, even if the full match is not completed after that map. Resolution is scheduled for April 11, 2026, making it a focused market for traders following Counter-Strike prediction market odds and Polymarket action.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Astralis and FUT Esports in the PGL Bucharest Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 11 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 3 against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 3 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,056.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
7-wallet Astralis pile-in
Seven wallets piled into Astralis for $15.3k during a major volume spike, including at least two high-volume cross-market traders with solid records, and the market moved sharply in their favor.
- Seven wallets all bet Astralis in a $15.3k one-sided cluster, a strong coordinated signal on the same outcome.
- Several of these wallets are experienced event traders, including one up about $898k lifetime and another winning 76% of 303 resolved bets.
- The best entries came at 35¢ to 59¢, and the market has already moved to 68¢, showing the flow was early and right.
$15,282 on Astralis
78% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 78% win rate bought FUT Esports despite a sharp market move, making this a followable sharp sports bet.
- This bettor has won 230 of 293 resolved markets and has tracked nearly $19.5k in profit.
- They trade heavily across related events — 237 markets across 167 events — which suggests a repeatable edge in sports pricing.
- They bought FUT Esports at 80¢ after a 17.7-point move, showing willingness to size into strong conviction.
$1,043 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial sports trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought FUT Esports despite market-wide momentum, making this a follow-worthy sharp bettor signal even though the price has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has 1,024 resolved trades, wins 65% of them, and is up about $203k lifetime
- They trade heavily across related event markets at scale, with nearly $494k flagged across 39 events
- Bought FUT Esports at 69¢ while the market later moved to 41¢, making this a much cheaper follow entry if the original thesis still holds
$1,709 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 65%
81% bettor in 5-wallet pile-in
A proven 81% win-rate serial cross-market bettor joined a 5-wallet one-sided group buying Astralis at 40¢ before the market collapsed to 10¢, making this coordinated esports move worth watching despite the mixed lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 54 markets and 39 events
- Five wallets all bought Astralis together for $6.8k, showing coordinated conviction
- They entered at 40¢ and the market is now 10¢, so this is only worth following at much lower prices
$1,005 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 81%
6-wallet Astralis pile-in
Six wallets piled into Astralis on the same map market during a sharp volume spike and drove the price up, including several highly active profitable cross-market bettors.
- Six wallets all bought Astralis for $14.1k total, a strong one-sided cluster on the same outcome.
- The move came during a 47.6x volume spike and pushed Astralis up about 34 points, showing real momentum behind the bet.
- Several wallets have long track records, including one winning 76% of 303 resolved bets and another up $898k lifetime.
$14,059 on Astralis
Profitable serial event bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a long profitable track record bought Astralis at 40¢ during an unusual surge in market activity, making this a worthwhile signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor has won 67% of 1,034 resolved bets and is up about $373k lifetime
- They trade heavily across related events — 170 markets across 102 events suggests a repeatable edge, not a random punt
- Bought Astralis at 40¢ while this market was seeing a 166.7x volume spike, a sign money was rushing in
$1,964 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 67%
5-wallet FUT pile-in
Five wallets piled into FUT Esports together during a 54.5x volume spike and helped push the price up nearly 20 points, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching despite mixed individual win rates.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $9.1k in a short burst, a strong one-way flow signal.
- Their buying came during a 54.5x volume spike and FUT jumped about 20 points, showing the market moved with them.
- Several wallets are profitable over hundreds to thousands of bets, including one up $1.17M lifetime.
$9,123 on FUT Esports
15-wallet funded cluster
A 15-wallet funded cluster is repeatedly betting across this event, and this wallet bought FUT before the price moved from 53¢ to 58¢.
- 15 linked wallets funded by the same address have been active here, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a random single bet.
- This wallet bought FUT at 53¢ and the market is now 58¢, so the trade is already moving their way.
- The same wallet cluster has bet 3 markets in this event with about $12.1k total, suggesting an event-level thesis.
$1,568 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 56%
Pro sports bettor buying FUT
A high-volume serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 70% win rate bought FUT Esports before the price moved up from 53¢ to 58¢.
- This bettor has won 70% of 1,223 resolved trades and is up about $308k lifetime
- They trade heavily across related markets — 211 markets over 128 events — which suggests real event-level expertise
- Bought FUT Esports at 53¢ and the market has already moved to 58¢, showing early confirmation
$1,304 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x8d13...c3dc — Astralis, $45,000
- 0xba38...e406 — Astralis, $40,030 (47% win rate)
- 0xd20f...2f35 — FUT Esports, $34,852 (57% win rate)
- 0x6fc4...c89d — Astralis, $14,988 (100% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Astralis, $12,833 (50% win rate)
- 0x6df6...8458 — Astralis, $12,556 (67% win rate)
- 0xcd36...a8ac — FUT Esports, $12,303 (52% win rate)
- 0xea79...a9cc — FUT Esports, $11,561 (64% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — FUT Esports, $10,024 (52% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — FUT Esports, $10,000 (53% win rate)
