Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 4 in the Counter-Strike grand final between Astralis and FUT Esports at the PGL Bucharest Playoffs. The market resolves based solely on the Map 4 winner, with resolution scheduled for April 11, 2026. PolySpotter also shows $6,385 in tracked smart money and 3 smart money signals tied to this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Astralis and FUT Esports in the PGL Bucharest Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 11 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 4 against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 4 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 4. If Map 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,152.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with 1,028 resolved trades and $209k profit bought FUT Esports during a major pre-event volume spike and an 18-point price move.
- This bettor has 1,028 resolved trades, wins 65% of them, and is up $209k lifetime
- They bought during a 93.7x volume spike as FUT Esports jumped 18 points, showing strong market-wide conviction
- Entry at 77¢ is close to the current 78¢ market price, so the move is still reasonably copyable
$1,912 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 65%
98% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable cross-market bettor with a 98% win rate bought Astralis at 42¢ alongside other wallets in the same direction, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 98% of their trades and is up about $2.9M across 320 resolved positions.
- They bought Astralis at 42¢ while 3 wallets piled into the same side for nearly $21k total.
- The bet came during a 13.3x volume spike, suggesting informed money was moving into this market.
$1,635 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 98%
94% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.69M profit just bought Astralis at 41¢ in this esports market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite only one trade.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $1.69M across 192 resolved positions
- They trade heavily across related markets and events, with $3.37M deployed over 351 markets
- Bought Astralis at 41¢ while the market now sits around 42-43¢, suggesting they saw value before the move
$2,838 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 94%
4-wallet esports cluster
Four wallets put $28.5k on FUT Esports in a coordinated burst, and two of them are proven serial cross-market bettors with 63-65% win rates across dozens of events.
- Four wallets piled $28.5k into FUT Esports in the same window, a strong one-sided signal on one map market.
- Two of the bettors are active cross-market traders with 63-65% win rates across 35-40 events.
- Several buys hit at 59-60¢ and the market is now 68¢, showing the group moved early before the price jumped.
$28,477 on FUT Esports
Profitable bettor buys underdog
A highly profitable wallet with a large historical edge bought $8.4k of Astralis into a major pre-match volume spike at 41¢, suggesting fresh conviction on a meaningful underdog price.
- This bettor has made about $898k profit across 234 resolved bets, which makes a fresh $8.4k buy worth tracking
- They bought Astralis at 41¢ while the market now shows 42-43¢, signaling conviction on the underdog side
- The trade was larger than the market's earlier 24h volume and landed during a 775x volume spike, showing strong new interest
$8,427 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable new wallet betting big
A very new wallet with early profits and repeated large bets just put another meaningful stake on FUT in a relatively thin esports market, suggesting real conviction rather than routine flow.
- This wallet is only 8 days old but is already up $6.3k with an 83% win rate on 6 resolved bets
- It has been flagged 5 times already and just placed another $1.9k bet, showing repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt
- The bet is large for this market size, taking FUT at 54¢ in a market with only about $6.5k of 24h volume
$1,864 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xd20f...2f35 — Astralis, $74,428 (57% win rate)
- 0x2cad...eb66 — FUT Esports, $46,560 (65% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Astralis, $45,555 (51% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — FUT Esports, $29,999 (63% win rate)
- 0x18bb...e5cd — Astralis, $26,988 (62% win rate)
- 0xcd36...a8ac — FUT Esports, $20,948 (52% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Astralis, $17,867 (94% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Astralis, $17,126 (98% win rate)
- 0x410d...d831 — Astralis, $14,946 (37% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — FUT Esports, $11,006 (59% win rate)
