Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Counter-Strike best-of-three Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00 AM ET. It resolves to Astralis if Astralis win, to paiN if paiN win, or 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,689 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts from profitable esports bettors.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,151.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate is buying paiN at 40¢ in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $1.37M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $2M tracked across 262 events.
- The paiN buy was nearly the full recent volume, showing concentrated conviction at 40¢.
$1,689 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial bettor
A highly active profitable cross-market bettor bought Astralis in a thin esports market with a trade larger than the market's entire 24h volume.
- This bettor has a long track record: 3,122 resolved bets and $172k in lifetime profit.
- Their Astralis buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 58¢ is close to current odds, so the copy window has not moved much yet.
$1,943 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 58%
97% winner buying thin market
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because this is a proven sharp bettor with a 97% record and nearly $897k profit buying Astralis in a thin market.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $896,608 lifetime.
- The $1,518 Astralis buy was nearly 88% of the market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 60¢ implies they see Astralis as meaningfully undervalued versus current 58–59¢ quotes.
$1,518 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x44c5...8d45 — paiN, $5,810 (77% win rate)
- 0xe111...685a — paiN, $4,500 (45% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Astralis, $4,403 (58% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Astralis, $3,437 (97% win rate)
- 0x2a74...de59 — Astralis, $2,550 (92% win rate)
- 0xa972...9817 — Astralis, $1,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xbfdf...8e02 — paiN, $1,000 (32% win rate)
- 0x1025...7e11 — paiN, $1,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xcb71...4371 — Astralis, $700 (56% win rate)
- 0x5984...76eb — paiN, $625
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