Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market asks who will win Map 2 between Astralis and paiN in their Counter-Strike IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Round 4 match. PolySpotter has tracked $49,502 in smart money and 6 smart money signals, including sharp activity on Astralis and paiN. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 8, 2026, based on the official Map 2 winner if that map is completed.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 2 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,858.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Six-wallet sharp cluster
Six wallets bought $21K of paiN, led by multiple highly profitable serial sports bettors and accompanied by a sharp price move from the mid-30s to 60%.
- Several proven bettors joined the same side, including one wallet that wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.37M.
- The strongest buyer has traded 496 events with a 92% win record and bought more paiN at 60¢ after the move.
- paiN jumped from the mid-30s to 60¢ as this one-sided flow hit, suggesting real conviction rather than a small thin-market blip.
$21,101 on paiN
Profitable serial bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 77% win rate is buying Astralis amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $3.2M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 510 events, with $5.2M in tracked event-level activity.
- Three wallets are all buying Astralis, alongside a 157x pre-event volume spike.
$2,352 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable sharp buying Astralis
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Astralis amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 807 resolved trades and is up $1.79M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Astralis in the same window for nearly $11K total.
- Market volume spiked 156x before the match, supporting the same direction as this buy.
$6,249 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp cluster on Astralis
A high-conviction Astralis cluster is backed by multiple sharp esports bettors with strong long-term records and a large pre-event volume spike.
- Multiple proven bettors are buying Astralis, including wallets with 89%, 86%, and 77% records across resolved bets.
- The cluster put $15.1k on the same side, with most entries between 62¢ and 64¢.
- This market saw a 252x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusually strong positioning before the match.
$15,107 on Astralis
94% winner buying underdog
A highly profitable 94% win-rate esports bettor bought paiN at 39¢ alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime.
- They bought $4.0K of paiN at 39¢ while 4 wallets put $9.7K on the same side.
- Volume spiked 252x before the match, and this wallet has a strong cross-market track record across 292 events.
$4,044 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable trader joins paiN cluster
Profitable high-volume trader bought paiN alongside a 4-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 7,151 resolved bets and $138,633 in lifetime profit.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $9,710 on paiN before the match.
- Volume spiked 252x above normal, suggesting coordinated attention on this map.
$1,377 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 56%
86% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with an 86% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Astralis on Map 2, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $95K lifetime.
- They have traded 76 markets across 71 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- Entry at 62¢ implies they still see value versus the current Astralis price near 60–61¢.
$1,500 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 86%
89% winner backs Astralis
Sharp esports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought Astralis at 62¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $23.7K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 60¢ odds, showing a strong track record beyond just backing favorites.
- A $2.6K buy at 62¢ signals fresh conviction on Astralis for Map 2.
$2,647 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 89%
88% winner on esports
Sharp esports bettor with an 88% record and +$32.7k lifetime profit bought Astralis for Map 2 at 59¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $32.7k lifetime.
- They bought Astralis at 59¢ in a market currently priced around 60¢.
- The bet is meaningful for this market, equal to about 22% of 24h volume.
$1,482 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Astralis, $40,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — paiN, $18,166 (94% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Astralis, $13,858 (68% win rate)
- 0x880b...c98b — paiN, $10,935 (72% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Astralis, $9,919 (74% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — paiN, $8,996 (74% win rate)
- 0x4713...4d21 — paiN, $8,378 (44% win rate)
- 0xb6ce...7a7d — paiN, $6,706 (50% win rate)
- 0x4a57...7b0a — paiN, $6,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x66b1...340f — Astralis, $4,813 (78% win rate)
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