Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

This Polymarket prediction market asks who will win Map 2 between Astralis and paiN in their Counter-Strike IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Round 4 match. PolySpotter has tracked $49,502 in smart money and 6 smart money signals, including sharp activity on Astralis and paiN. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 8, 2026, based on the official Map 2 winner if that map is completed.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 2 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,858.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Six-wallet sharp cluster

Six wallets bought $21K of paiN, led by multiple highly profitable serial sports bettors and accompanied by a sharp price move from the mid-30s to 60%.

  • Several proven bettors joined the same side, including one wallet that wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.37M.
  • The strongest buyer has traded 496 events with a 92% win record and bought more paiN at 60¢ after the move.
  • paiN jumped from the mid-30s to 60¢ as this one-sided flow hit, suggesting real conviction rather than a small thin-market blip.

$21,101 on paiN

Profitable serial bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 77% win rate is buying Astralis amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $3.2M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 510 events, with $5.2M in tracked event-level activity.
  • Three wallets are all buying Astralis, alongside a 157x pre-event volume spike.

$2,352 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable sharp buying Astralis

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Astralis amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 807 resolved trades and is up $1.79M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought Astralis in the same window for nearly $11K total.
  • Market volume spiked 156x before the match, supporting the same direction as this buy.

$6,249 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp cluster on Astralis

A high-conviction Astralis cluster is backed by multiple sharp esports bettors with strong long-term records and a large pre-event volume spike.

  • Multiple proven bettors are buying Astralis, including wallets with 89%, 86%, and 77% records across resolved bets.
  • The cluster put $15.1k on the same side, with most entries between 62¢ and 64¢.
  • This market saw a 252x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusually strong positioning before the match.

$15,107 on Astralis

94% winner buying underdog

A highly profitable 94% win-rate esports bettor bought paiN at 39¢ alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime.
  • They bought $4.0K of paiN at 39¢ while 4 wallets put $9.7K on the same side.
  • Volume spiked 252x before the match, and this wallet has a strong cross-market track record across 292 events.

$4,044 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable trader joins paiN cluster

Profitable high-volume trader bought paiN alongside a 4-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 7,151 resolved bets and $138,633 in lifetime profit.
  • Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $9,710 on paiN before the match.
  • Volume spiked 252x above normal, suggesting coordinated attention on this map.

$1,377 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 56%

86% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with an 86% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Astralis on Map 2, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $95K lifetime.
  • They have traded 76 markets across 71 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • Entry at 62¢ implies they still see value versus the current Astralis price near 60–61¢.

$1,500 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 86%

89% winner backs Astralis

Sharp esports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought Astralis at 62¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $23.7K lifetime.
  • Their wins came at average 60¢ odds, showing a strong track record beyond just backing favorites.
  • A $2.6K buy at 62¢ signals fresh conviction on Astralis for Map 2.

$2,647 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 89%

88% winner on esports

Sharp esports bettor with an 88% record and +$32.7k lifetime profit bought Astralis for Map 2 at 59¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $32.7k lifetime.
  • They bought Astralis at 59¢ in a market currently priced around 60¢.
  • The bet is meaningful for this market, equal to about 22% of 24h volume.

$1,482 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf60...a6f5 Astralis, $40,000 (77% win rate)
  2. 0xf070...ac55 paiN, $18,166 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Astralis, $13,858 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x880b...c98b paiN, $10,935 (72% win rate)
  5. 0x3833...33d1 Astralis, $9,919 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xfa88...85a5 paiN, $8,996 (74% win rate)
  7. 0x4713...4d21 paiN, $8,378 (44% win rate)
  8. 0xb6ce...7a7d paiN, $6,706 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x4a57...7b0a paiN, $6,000 (57% win rate)
  10. 0x66b1...340f Astralis, $4,813 (78% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

1hCounter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$55,858 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Astralis
41¢
paiN
60¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 2 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “paiN
100¢
69¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

43m ago

$21,101 on paiN at 60¢

60¢60¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

49m ago

$2,352 on Astralis at 64¢

64¢41¢23¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

43m ago

$6,249 on Astralis at 63¢

63¢41¢22¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

55m ago

$15,107 on Astralis at 63¢

63¢41¢22¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

55m ago

$4,044 on paiN at 39¢

39¢60¢21¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

55m ago

$1,377 on paiN at 36¢

36¢60¢24¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,500 on Astralis at 62¢

62¢41¢21¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$2,647 on Astralis at 62¢

62¢41¢21¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,482 on Astralis at 59¢

59¢41¢18¢

Related Theses