Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Aurora Gaming and 9z in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 4 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. The market resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with resolution expected on June 14, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $31,483 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp activity on both Aurora and 9z.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,443.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% winner backing favorite
Elite CS bettor with a 95% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Aurora at 71¢, alongside a major price move and volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $105k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events with a 95% hit rate.
- Aurora moved from 71¢ entry to 88¢ now after a 24.6x volume spike.
$2,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp esports bettor caught move
Sharp esports bettor with an 84% historical win rate bought Aurora at 52¢ before a major move to 88¢, alongside a volume spike and strong price impact.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $8,673 lifetime.
- They bought Aurora at 52¢ before the market jumped to 88¢.
- The market saw a 24.6x volume spike and a 38-point move toward Aurora.
$1,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor exits underdog
A highly profitable 78% winner with a long cross-market track record is exiting 9z, effectively favoring Aurora despite this being a position close rather than a fresh large bet.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $378K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events with the same 78% win rate.
- Selling 9z at 14¢ is equivalent to backing Aurora at 86¢, and 9z has since slipped to 12¢.
$1,361 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable bettor caught breakout
Profitable high-volume bettor bought Aurora at 65¢ before a sharp move to 88¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $187k lifetime across more than 8,000 resolved trades.
- They bought Aurora at 65¢ before the market jumped to 88¢.
- Market volume spiked 24.6x before the match, supporting the move.
$4,388 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%
Sharp esports cluster on Aurora
High-conviction Aurora flow from 10 wallets is supported by major pre-event volume, sharp profitable bettors, and a large price move despite some entries now being underwater.
- 10 wallets put $28.8K behind Aurora, creating a 112x pre-event volume spike.
- Several profitable bettors are in the flow, including one up $381K with a 78% win rate and another up $105K with a 95% win rate.
- Aurora moved as much as 44 percentage points during the buying wave, and the current 52¢ price is below many sharp entries.
$28,813 on Aurora Gaming
88% winner backing underdog
Highly proven esports bettor with 88% win rate is buying 9z alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $168,827 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 142 events with the same 88% hit rate.
- Five wallets are all buying 9z, with volume spiking 112x before the match.
$1,200 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial trader with cluster
A profitable high-volume esports bettor is buying 9z alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has 868 resolved trades, wins 71% of them, and is up $78K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same 9z side for $9.2K total, showing coordinated one-way flow.
- Volume spiked 112x before the match, suggesting this market is drawing unusual attention.
$1,470 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp cluster backing 9z
Five wallets, including a highly profitable 88% winner and several serial cross-market bettors, bought the same 9z side during a major pre-match volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $169k joined the 9z side.
- Five wallets bought $9.2k of 9z within minutes, a strong one-sided move in a $22k market.
- Market volume spiked 109x before the match, and 9z has already moved from the cluster’s ~52¢ average entry to 55¢.
$9,212 on 9z
Top Holders
- 0x6adc...beba — 9z, $30,000 (33% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — 9z, $28,047 (65% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Aurora Gaming, $12,572 (43% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Aurora Gaming, $9,756 (98% win rate)
- 0x9cb9...32f2 — Aurora Gaming, $9,234 (40% win rate)
- 0xa8a1...2974 — 9z, $7,285 (36% win rate)
- 0xff34...694b — Aurora Gaming, $6,750 (56% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Aurora Gaming, $6,540 (58% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Aurora Gaming, $6,203 (74% win rate)
- 0xc3df...9945 — 9z, $5,958 (88% win rate)
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