What is the Aurora Gaming vs FURIA Map 1 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which team will win Map 1 of the Counter-Strike match between Aurora Gaming and FURIA in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs semifinal.

When does the Aurora vs FURIA Map 1 market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on June 20, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, based on the official winner of Map 1 between Aurora Gaming and FURIA.

What happens if the match is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market can still resolve if Map 1 is finished and a winner is determined. If Map 1 is not completed, resolution depends on the market rules and official handling of the unfinished map.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter is tracking $26,933 in smart money and 7 signals on this market. Recent alerts include sharp buyer clusters on FURIA and Aurora, plus activity from profitable bettors and coordinated wallet pushes.

How should I interpret smart money signals for this CS2 market?

Smart money signals show where historically profitable or high-conviction wallets are trading, but they are not guarantees. In a single-map Counter-Strike market, map vetoes, team form, side starts, and late roster news can all affect the odds quickly.

Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Aurora Gaming and FURIA in Semifinal 2 of the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs. It resolves to Aurora Gaming or FURIA based on which team wins the first map, with resolution scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 19:45 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $26,933 in smart money across 7 signals, including recent sharp buying activity on both FURIA and Aurora.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Aurora Gaming and FURIA in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,936.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports sharp caught move

A highly experienced profitable cross-market trader bought FURIA at 55¢ before a major move to 86¢, suggesting sharp positioning on the map winner.

This bettor has a deep track record: 1,594 resolved bets, 66% wins, and $87K profit.
They bought FURIA at 55¢ before the market surged to 86¢.
The 31-point price move suggests their entry helped catch a major shift in market confidence.

$1,456 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial bettor breakout

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought FURIA at 70¢ ahead of a sharp move to 86¢, with a large track record and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor has 4,576 resolved trades and is up $341k lifetime.
They bought FURIA at 70¢ before the price jumped to 86¢.
They have traded across 302 events, suggesting a repeat edge in match markets.

$1,120 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 61%

92% winner backing underdog

A highly profitable 92% win-rate esports/cross-market trader bought Aurora, with seven-wallet same-side flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
Seven wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling about $29.6K in one-sided flow.
The entry was 62¢, but Aurora has since fallen to 32¢, making this a sharp-trader dip rather than clean momentum.

$1,133 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

95% winner backed FURIA

Sharp esports bettor with a 95% win record bought FURIA at 57¢ alongside one-sided flow, and the market quickly moved to 70¢.

This bettor has won 104 of 110 resolved trades and is up $90K lifetime.
They bought FURIA at 57¢ before the price jumped to 70¢ within minutes.
Three wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $5.7K on FURIA.

$1,053 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 95%

92% winner backing underdog

A highly profitable 92% win-rate esports/cross-market trader bought Aurora, with seven-wallet same-side flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
Seven wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling about $29.6K in one-sided flow.
The entry was 62¢, but Aurora has since fallen to 32¢, making this a sharp-trader dip rather than clean momentum.

$5,427 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A profitable high-volume esports bettor joined a 7-wallet Aurora buy cluster, though the price has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.

This bettor has won 74% of 443 resolved trades and is up $78K lifetime.
Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling nearly $30K on Aurora.
Caution: the bettor entered at 67¢, but Aurora is now around 32¢ after a sharp move against the position.

$2,900 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable whale in 7-wallet push

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Aurora alongside one-sided cluster flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has a strong track record: 70% wins across 281 resolved bets and +$590k lifetime profit.
Seven wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling about $29.6k on the same side.
The entry was 66¢, but Aurora has since dropped to 32¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper follow-on price.

$3,922 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp FURIA buyer cluster

Five profitable/serial esports bettors bought FURIA before a fast move from the mid-50s to 68%, though there is also notable opposing Aurora flow.

One bettor in this FURIA cluster wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $90k lifetime.
Five wallets bought $9.6k of FURIA around 52–58¢ before the price jumped to 68¢.
Several buyers are proven profitable, including wallets up $259k, $107k, and $87k lifetime.

$9,649 on FURIA

Sharp bettor joins Aurora cluster

Sharp 77% lifetime winner joined a 21-wallet Aurora buy wave with linked funding, volume spike, and 19-point price move.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $261k lifetime.
21 wallets are buying Aurora the same way, totaling $58k with linked funding behind part of the flow.
Aurora moved up 19 points as volume spiked 26x, and this entry was at 50¢ before the market rose to 52¢.

$1,188 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%

95% winner joins 21-wallet push

Elite 95% winning bettor with $1.6M profit is buying Aurora alongside a 21-wallet same-side cluster and rising price/volume.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.63M lifetime.
21 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $58K, with some linked funding.
Aurora moved up 19 points as volume spiked 26x, supporting the same direction.

$2,031 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%